Boise State Broncos (3-0, SU2-1 ATS) vs. New Mexico State Aggies(0-3 SU,0-3 ATS), Week 5 College Football, Aggie Memorial Stadium, (Natural Grass) Las Cruces New Mexico, Saturday,October 2nd, 2010,8:00 PM Eastern
By Jeff Hochman of JHSportsline.com
Betting Odds:BSU -43/NMSU +43
Over/Under Total: 60.5
The third-ranked Boise State Broncos look to continue their undefeatedseason in hopes ofplaying the BCS Title game in January. The question is not weather the Broncos will win this game, because the
Boise State defeated Oregon State on the blue turf37-24, but failed to cover the big 18-point spread last Saturday. They had two costly turnovers in the red zone thatrobbed them ofat least six points. Kellen Moore completed 19-of-27 passes for 288 yards, Titus Young had five catches for 136 yards and a TD, and Doug Martin rushed 19 times for 138 yards in Boise State’s 17th straight victory. Chris Peterson’s record at Boise State improves to an impressive 53-4 inover four years.
Austin Pettis caught a touchdown pass and threw for a score for the Broncos, who continued their impressive play by beating their second ranked foe this season. Boise State, which extended its home winning streak to 27 games, alsoembarrassed Virginia Tech in the season-opener before thrashing Wyoming two weeks ago.
The New Mexico State Aggies started 3-3 last year and things were looking up, but they went on to lose their next seven straight games to finish the season 3-10. The Aggies have now lost 10 straight games dating back to last season. It’s been one bad loss after the next so far in 2010. If the Aggies are anything, they are consistent. They allowed 41 points in week one, 42 points in week two, and another42 points last week in their loss at Kansas. Matt Christianhad 147 yards and atouchdown on 12-of-20 passes, while Marcus Allencaught four balls for 89 yards and added ascore. Seth Smith had 52 rushing yards and a touchdown on 16 carries for the Aggies.
There was hope around campus this year the Aggies could make a bowl game as a 5-7 team. That seems highly unlikely especiallysince their special teams play has been abysmal so far. They have allowed three kick-offand/or punt-returns this season forscores,and they have the worst coverage unit in the WAC. Not a good combination against a team thathas one of the best special teams in all of College Football.
New Nexico State’s Matt Christian will have a very difficult time of it going up against a very talented secondary. Also,the Broncos front seven has at least five players that will be playing onSunday in the near future. The Broncos will be able to doanything and everything in this game.
The Broncos have too many weapons on offense with the likes of Quarterback Kellen Moore, running backs Doug Martin, Jeremy Avery, and D.J. Harper, receivers Titus Young, Austin Pettis, and Kyle Efaw. All of these players have skills that make it to the NFL. This team is loaded on both sides of the ball!
Jeff’s Pickto Cover the Point Spread: Boise State Broncos -43
Big time mismatch and with the Broncos not covering the spread last week look for a team that will want to run up the score. Boise State is 10-0 straight-up and 5-3 against-the-spreadvs. the Aggies, including last year’s 42-7 win as 46-point favorites. Two years ago, Boise State won 49-0 as 21-point chalk. I think you will see a similar outcome in this game. Take the road favorite!