Big Ten Championship Game Pick & Predictions

Michigan Wolverines (12-0 SU, ATS 6-5-1) vs Iowa Hawkeyes (10-2 SU, ATS 6-5-1)

Date: 8:00 EST Saturday, December 2nd

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN

TV: FOX

Point Spread: UM -22.5/IA +22.5

Money Line: UM -7117/IA +1487

Over/Under: 35.5

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Head-to-Head Matchup:

In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, Michigan picked up the 27-14 win (last year). Michigan’s defense made things tough for Iowa up front as Iowa only ran for 35 yards. On offense, Michigan ended the game with 155 passing yards and 172 rushing yards.

Michigan Wolverines Recent Form:

Prepping for this week’s matchup against Iowa, the Michigan Wolverines remain undefeated at 12-0. Their latest encounter saw them beat Ohio State with a 30-24 score.

Heading into the game, Michigan was the betting favorite at 3 and picked up an ATS win. Together, the teams scored 54 points, resulting in a hit for the over.

In the win vs. Ohio State, quarterback J.J. McCarthy concluded with a QB rating of 114.17, connecting on 16 of 20 passes for 148 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

Michigan’s leading rusher against Ohio State was Blake Corum, who rushed for 88 yards and found the endzone two times on 22 carries. Michigan’s most productive receiver in the game was Colston Loveland, who finished with 88 on five receptions.

Defensively, Michigan allowed a total of 378 yards to Ohio State. This includes giving up 107 yards allowed on the ground and 271 passing yards. Defensively, the Wolverines enter the game with 28 sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries. They’ve allowed 10.2 points per game thus far this season (47th). In terms of pass defense, they’re 16th in the NCAA, giving up 155.3 passing yards per game. Against the run, Michigan has allowed 91.4 rushing yards per contest thus far.

Away Injury Report

Iowa Hawkeyes Recent Form:

After securing a 13-10 win against Nebraska, Iowa’s record now stands at 10-2 as they approach this week’s matchup with Michigan.

Iowa was the underdog at +3, giving them an ATS and straight-up win. The under hit in the game with the over/under line set at 25 points.

Although Deacon Hill did toss a touchdown against Nebraska, he did find the endzone with his legs. Overall, he threw for 94 while completing 39.3% of his passes.

Iowa’s leading rusher against Nebraska was Leshon Williams, who ran for 111 yards on 16 times. Leshon Williams did not run for a score against Nebraska. For the game, Steven Stilianos hauled in two receptions for a total of 38 yards, which led the team.

Against Nebraska the Hawkeyes’ defense was excellent against Nebraska, giving up just 10 points on 264 yards allowed. Nebraska’s passing game finished with 189 yards. Up-front, Iowa gave up 2.5 yards per attempt. In terms of passing yards allowed per game, Iowa’s defense is ranked 181st. Opponents, on average, attempt 35.1 passes against the Hawkeyes. They are allowing 12.2 PPG, which places them 51st in college football. Their rush defense ranks 28th in the NCAA.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Looking at Michigan’s three most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 2-1.
• At home, Iowa has gone 7-3 against the spread (last ten).
• In the five most recent times they were the underdog, Iowa has put together an ATS record of 4-1.
• Michigan’s record vs. the spread in their three most recent games as the favorite is 2-1.

Free Pick

Even though Iowa’s defense has been stout nearly the entire season, the only time they played a team at the level of Michigan it came back in October vs. Ohio State. In that game, Ohio State put up 54 points vs. the Hawkeyes. Look for the Wolverines to put an exclamation point on their undefeated season and for them to cover at -22.5.