Barking Dog: Texas A&M vs. Tennessee Pick

Texas A&M Aggies (4-2 SU, ATS 4-2) vs Tennessee Volunteers (4-1 SU, ATS 3-1)

Date: Saturday, October 14th

Location: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN

TV: CBS

Point Spread: TAMU +3.5/Tenn -3.5 (Bet it FREE using a sportsbook promo code!)

Money Line: Tex AM +139/Vols -173

Over/Under: 56

The Texas A&M Aggies and Tennessee Volunteers matchup in a SEC showdown at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, TN. The over/under for this matchup is currently 56 while Tennessee is favored by -3.5 points.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

These teams did not face off last season, but looking back on their last three head-to-head games, Texas A&M has gone 2-1. Against the spread, Texas A&M went 2-1 in these matchups. On the over/under, the teams went 1-2 combining for 61 points per contest.

Texas A&M Aggies Recent Form:

This week, Texas A&M is looking to get back on track after falling to Alabama by a score of 26-20. Yet, they still have an above .500 record of 4-2 through six games.

Texas A&M and Alabama combined for 46 points in the game, which was enough to surpass the over/under line of 45.5 points. In addition to losing straight-up, Texas A&M did not cover the spread as 2.5-point underdogs.

In the loss against Alabama, quarterback Max Johnson achieved a QB rating of 85.25, completing 14 of 25 passes for 239 yards. Additionally, he contributed one touchdown to the game.

Le’Veon Moss carried the rushing load for Texas A&M against Alabama, accumulating 49 yards on 16 attempts and finding the endzone one time. For the game, Ainias Smith hauled in four receptions for a total of 88 yards which led the team.

Texas A&M’s defense gave up 344 yards of offense vs. Alabama. In the passing game, they allowed 321 yards while on the ground they gave up 23 yards. Coming into this week’s game, the Texas A&M defense is 68th in points allowed at 19.8 points per game. So far, team’s have averaged 184.8 passing yards per game vs. the unit (38th). On the ground, they are giving up 84 rushing yards, putting them 13th in college football.

Away Injury Report

Tennessee Volunteers Recent Form:

With a 41-20 win over South Carolina, Tennessee’s record now stands at 4-1 as they head into this week’s matchup with Texas A&M.

Going into the game, Tennessee was favored by 11.5 and went on to cover the spread. The team’s combined 61 points surpassed the over/under line of 58.

During their most recent win, quarterback Joe Milton III threw 32 passing attempts against South Carolina. He concluded the game with 239 passing yards, completing 65.6% of his passes. Furthermore, he had two interceptions in the game.

Jaylen Wright was Tennessee’s leading rusher vs. South Carolina, carrying the ball 16 times for 123 yards and one touchdown. Leading Tennessee in receiving against South Carolina was Squirrel White. Although he didn’t catch a touchdown pass, he finished with 104 yards on nine receptions.

The Volunteers’ defense finished the game by giving up 333 total yards to South Carolina. The team’s run defense allowed 132 yards rushing compared to 201 in the passing game. As we head into this week’s game, the Tennessee defense ranks 46th for points allowed, with an average of 17.8 points per game. Teams have been gaining 192.8 passing yards per game against them (44th nationally). Against the run, they’ve given up 115.4 rushing yards, placing them 45th in college football.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Texas A&M is 3-7 in their last ten road games.
• Tennessee’s ATS record at home (last three) is 2-1.
• Tennessee’s ATS record in their five most recent games as an underdog is 2-3.
• Texas A&M is 3-0 in their last three games as favorites.

Free Pick

Texas A&M had a real chance to pull off the upset vs Alabama last week and head into Tennessee as the 3.5-point underdogs. Not only do I see them covering this spread, but I think they have a real chance to pull out the win on the road.