Badgers at Hawkeyes Point Spread Pick | Badgers Overrated?

Wisconsin Badgers at Iowa Hawkeyes Week 10
Where: Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA
When: Saturday, November 2, at 7:30 PM EST
Watch: NBC

Betting Odds

Spread: Iowa -3.0
Over/Under: 40.5

This Big Ten showdown between the Wisconsin Badgers and Iowa Hawkeyes promises to be a defensive struggle between two gritty programs. Both teams enter Saturday’s matchup with identical records, each looking to edge out the other in conference standings. If you’re a fan of tough defenses and hard-fought field position battles, this game will be a treat.

Wisconsin Badgers Betting Analysis

The Badgers bring a 5-3 record into this contest, aiming to bounce back after a home loss to No. 3 Penn State in which they led at halftime. Wisconsin’s offense, led by QB Braedyn Locke, averages 398.6 total yards per game, with a balanced attack that leans slightly toward the run. Tawee Walker has been a reliable force on the ground, averaging five yards per carry with ten touchdowns to his name. However, Locke’s seven touchdowns to six interceptions underscore a passing game that has lacked consistency, with no receiver surpassing 400 yards on the season.

Defensively, Wisconsin excels against the pass, ranking 33rd nationally by limiting opponents to just 167.1 passing yards per game. Their pass rush and secondary have been critical strengths, though their rushing defense, ranked 115th, could struggle against Iowa’s formidable ground game.

Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Analysis

Iowa also enters at 5-3, relying on a dominant rushing attack led by Kaleb Johnson, who has already topped 1,000 yards and scored 16 touchdowns this season. With QB Cade McNamara sidelined, backup Brendan Sullivan will likely keep the focus on the run game, minimizing passing attempts against a strong Wisconsin secondary. Expect Iowa to rely heavily on Johnson and a stout offensive line.

On defense, Iowa has been equally solid, allowing only 19 points per game. Their defensive front ranks 28th against the run and limits opponents to a third-down conversion rate of just 33%. This defensive consistency, especially against the ground game, will be pivotal in a matchup likely defined by field position and time of possession.

My Pick: Iowa Hawkeyes -3.0 (-110)

Despite missing their starting QB, Iowa’s reliance on the run game and effective defense make them well-suited for this matchup. Wisconsin’s struggles against the run will allow Iowa to control the clock and play to their strengths. The Hawkeyes should be able to cover the modest three-point spread at home, leveraging their defensive prowess to secure the victory. If you’re looking for an additional angle, consider the under, though it may not be the most thrilling bet.

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