Back to Boca for Charlotte 49ers at Florida Atlantic Owls Bet

When I was in my early twenties a company flew me down from Jersey to a town in Florida called Boca Raton, to pitch me on coming to work for them. It was then, while on a boat ride cruising the Intracoastal Waterway, that I discovered Boca Raton is one of the most fabulous places to live in the world.

The job offer was interesting but I turned them down. My reasoning was that it’s hard enough starting the week by going to work on a Monday morning without having to see other people starting their week by heading out to their boats or the golf course.
But I planned to return there one day and buy one of those beautiful homes on the water.
The plan never came to fruition though.
As much as I love Florida and always thought I would end up there someday, Boca was not to be – I’ve had too many friends financially ruined because of hurricanes (well, that and the fact that while I’m doing okay I’m not doing “Live in a $30 million home in Boca” okay.)

But my heart (and my money) will be back in Boca this weekend. On Saturday, November 23rd, the Charlotte 49ers travel there to take on the Florida Atlantic Owls.

It’s a meaningless game.
The 49ers are 3-7.
The Owls are 2-8.

Neither team has any hopes of playing in a bowl game.
Neither team has anything to play for other than pride.

It’s not being televised on a major TV network or any of the minor networks. And while you’re watching other games on Saturday, none of the networks are going to give you updates on the Char/Fla Atl score.

Other than the team’s players, coaches, and family, nobody cares.
Except me.
Why?
Does this chart look familiar?

WNBA 2-6
NFL 2-8
College football 9-15
NBA 3-5
College basketball 2-9

Combined 18-43.
That’s a 43-18, 70% Fade with over 60 games charted across TWO sports and FOUR different leagues.
That’s sick!

And almost every one of them shared here at PredictEm.

And now, one more.

Yes, for the first time in three weeks, I have a college football game that qualifies for The Stupid Asterisk Play (9-15, 62% Fade.)

Despite the fact that there are no playoff implications and the fact that it’s a game between two teams that stink and normally would not be worth watching, it’ll be the main course game on my viewing menu on Saturday.

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The team’s ATS records are just as bad as their SU records. Charlotte is 4-6, Florida Atlantic is 3-7.
Charlotte is 0-2 ATS as a Fav this year, Florida Atlantic is 1-2 ATS as a home dog
Nothing in those numbers shows any edge for taking the 49ers on Saturday, but for a little added advantage on the 9-15 Stupid Asterisk Play, there’s this – the Hm/Rd subcategory is Hm 2-4, Rd 7-11, so I have a slight edge as Hm spots have the higher win percentage at 67% and the Owls are at home this weekend.

Note – to add Hm/Rd records as a subcategory, I went back to my charts and looked at all games that qualified. While doing so, I saw games that fit the parameters to qualify as a play but didn’t have the asterisk next to them.

I do a LOT of number crunching so it’s not difficult to miss a game or two over the course of a season but I tried to figure out how I could have missed multiple games. And then I saw my notes – in the early season, I didn’t chart weekday games. (Sometimes, I keep separate records for weekday games because teams aren’t used to playing during the week, so I want to see if there are records I could take advantage of, playing ON or AGAINST.)
I had the play charted at 5-11, now corrected to 9 -15. Same differential, six games, with a lower W percentage.

When to Buy Recommendation
The game opened at Charlotte -2′, and it’s still sitting at -2′, but some of them are getting higher juice added, which tells me it’ll likely be a full FG by kickoff. I bought it this morning.

This week’s play:
Charlotte -2′ (Bet it FREE with a 100% bonus!)

Record: 16-7