Arkansas Razorbacks vs Ole Miss Rebels Total Pick

Arkansas Razorbacks (2-3 SU, ATS 1-3) vs Ole Miss Rebels (4-1 SU, ATS 3-1)
Date: Saturday, October 7th
Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
TV: SECN
Point Spread: Arkansas +11/Ole Miss -11
Money Line: Arkansas +329/Ole Miss -455
Over/Under: 62.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks and Ole Miss Rebels matchup in a SEC showdown at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, MS. The over/under for this matchup is currently 62.5 while Ole Miss is favored by -11.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Arkansas will look to carry over the momentum from last year’s 42-27 win over Ole Miss. Offensively, Arkansas ran for 335 yards and put up 168 in the passing game. On the other side, Ole Miss ended the game with 703 yards of offense.

Arkansas Razorbacks Recent Form:

Arkansas enters this game with an overall record of 2-3. In their latest matchup, they faced a tough challenge and were defeated by Texas A&M with a final score of 34-22.

Not only did Arkansas lose straight-up in this matchup, but they also lost vs. the spread as 6-point underdogs. Combining for 56 points, the teams exceeded the line of 53.5 points.

In the loss vs. Texas A&M, quarterback KJ Jefferson concluded with a QB rating of 73.65, connecting on 9 of 17 passes for 132 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

Arkansas’ leading rusher against Texas A&M was Raheim Sanders, who ran for 34 yards on 11 times. Raheim Sanders did not run for a score against Texas A&M. The team’s top receiver was Andrew Armstrong, who hauled in one touchdown and caught three balls for 78 yards.

The Razorbacks’ defense finished the game by giving up 414 total yards to Texas A&M. The team’s run defense allowed 204 yards rushing compared to 210 in the passing game. The Razorbacks’ defense has given up 112 rushing yards per game this season, which is 158th. Opponents are recording an average of 227 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks come in with a passer rating of 90.8 when playing against Arkansas. In terms of points allowed, they currently sit 41st in NCAA rankings.

Away Injury Report

Ole Miss Rebels Recent Form:

Heading into this week’s matchup vs. Arkansas, the Ole Miss Rebels have an above .500 record of 4-1. This comes after taking down LSU in their most recent game (55-49).

On the betting lines, the over/under was 67, resulting in a hit for the over. Ole Miss not only won but covered as they were the betting underdogs at +3.

With Jaxson Dart leading the way, he recorded a passer rating of 133.39 by accumulating 389 passing yards against LSU. During the game, he made 39 passing attempts and completed 66.7% of them.

Ole Miss’ leading rusher against LSU was Quinshon Judkins, who along with rushing for 177 yards, he found the endzone one time in his 33 attempts. Tre Harris emerged as the team’s top receiver, scoring one touchdown and making eight receptions for 153 yards.

Ole Miss’ defense gave up 637 yards of offense vs. LSU. In the passing game, they allowed 414 yards while on the ground they gave up 223 yards. In terms of passing yards allowed per game, Ole Miss’ defense is ranked 60th. Opponents, on average, attempt 33.8 passes against the Rebels. They are allowing 24.6 PPG, which places them 77th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 90th in the NCAA.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Looking at Arkansas’ ten most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 5-4-1.
• At home, Ole Miss has gone 1-2 against the spread (last three).
• Rebels is 3-2 in their last five games as underdogs.
• Arkansas is 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite.

Line Movement:

Line Movement:

On the moneyline, the Razorbacks’ payout has shifted from +280 to +329 where it currently stands. On the other end, Ole Miss is at -452 with an implied win percentage of 82%. Since the lines was initially set, Ole Miss has moved from -10.5 point favorites to their current line of -11 (-113). On the other hand, Arkansas currently finds themselves as +11 (-109) point underdogs on the road. The over/under line for this matchup has stayed the same, with no changes thus far, still at 62.5. The over continues to have a standard price of -110.

Free Pick

The loss of TE Luke Hasz cripples Arkansas’ passing game, while both teams boast defenses that can limit scoring. Recent form shows inconsistency in high-scoring affairs for both sides. Expect a slower-paced, defensive SEC battle that makes the under 62.5 a solid bet.