Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide – SEC Showdown Pick

Arkansas Razorbacks (2-4 SU, ATS record of 2-3) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (5-1 SU, ATS record of 4-2)

Date: Saturday, October 14th

Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: Ark +19.5/Ala -19.5 (You can make Bama an underdog using a 20 point CFB teaser at Wagerweb Sportsbook!)

Money Line: Hogs +767/Tide -1481

Over/Under: 48.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks and Alabama Crimson Tide matchup in an SEC showdown at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, AL. The over/under for this matchup is currently 48.5, while Alabama is favored by -19.5 points.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Alabama secured a 49-26 victory over Arkansas in their most recent game. In the game, Alabama threw for 238 yards while averaging 21.6 yards per completion. Arkansas ran for 187 yards compared to 317 for Alabama.

Arkansas Razorbacks Recent Form:

After dropping their most recent game by a score of 27-20 to Ole Miss, the Razorbacks are just 2-4 so far this season.

Looking at how the teams fared against the spread, Arkansas was a 13-point underdog. This gave them a straight-up loss but an ATS win. As they combined for 47 points, the under hit in this matchup.

In the loss to Ole Miss, quarterback KJ Jefferson finished with a QB rating of 77.94 while completing 25 of 39 passes for 250 yards. He also recorded two touchdowns.

Against Ole Miss, Raheim Sanders carried the ball eight times, leading the team with 15 rushing yards. However, he was unable to score a touchdown on the ground. Ty Washington emerged as the team’s top receiver, scoring two touchdowns and making seven receptions for 90 yards.

The Razorbacks’ defense finished the game by giving up 350 total yards to Ole Miss. The team’s run defense allowed 197 rushing yards compared to 153 in the passing game. Arkansas’ defense ranks 88th in points allowed, with 25.3 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 214.7 passing yards against them (74th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 126.2 rushing yards, putting them 57th in college football.

Away Injury Report

Alabama Crimson Tide Recent Form:

Heading into their game vs. Arkansas, the Alabama Crimson Tide are coming off a 26-20 win over the Texas A&M Aggies and have an above-.500 record of 5-1.

Heading into the game, Alabama was the betting favorite at 2.5 points and picked up an ATS win. Together, the teams scored 46 points, resulting in a hit for the over.

In the win vs. Texas A&M, quarterback Jalen Milroe recorded a QB rating of 113.32, connecting on 21 of 33 passes for 321 yards. He also added three touchdowns to his performance.

Alabama’s leading rusher against Texas A&M was Jase McClellan, who rushed for 45 yards on 12 carries. Jase McClellan did not score a touchdown on the ground. In terms of receiving, Jermaine Burton was the standout for the team, finding the end zone two times and securing nine receptions for 197 yards.

Defensively, Alabama allowed a total of 306 yards to Texas A&M. This includes giving up 67 rushing yards and 239 passing yards. The Crimson Tide’s defense has given up an average of 106.2 rushing yards per game this season, ranking 169th. Opponents are recording an average of 193.3 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 70.7 when playing against Alabama. In terms of points allowed, they currently sit 84th in NCAA rankings.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• On the road, Arkansas has gone 4-1 against the spread.
• Alabama’s ATS record at home in the last five games is 3-2.
• In the three most recent times they were the underdog, Alabama has an ATS record of 1-1.
• Over their last three games as the betting favorite, Arkansas has an ATS record of 1-2.

Free Pick

I’m expecting Alabama to jump all over the Razorbacks in this one. However, with the spread sitting at 19.5 points, my fear is that Arkansas could cover late in garbage time, and Alabama’s offense could take their foot off the pedal late. So for this one, I’m going to take the under at 48.5 points, as I expect Arkansas to struggle all game long on offense.