No. 7 Arizona State Sun Devils (8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS) vs. Oregon State Beavers (4-5 SU, 2-7 ATS)
College Football Week 12
Date and Time: November 15, 2014, 10:45 PM EST.
Where: Reeser Stadium, Corvallis, OR.
TV: ESPN
by Wilson, NFL Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: ASU -9.5/OSU +9.5
Over/Under Total: OFF
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The Sun Devils defense caused 7 sacks, 4 INTs, and a fumble, and held on to beat No. 10 Notre Dame 55-31. ASU moves up two spots to No. 7 in the country and are now very much part of the National Championship playoff conversation. The Devils have waited for a game like the one they played versus ND as the Devils have had issues closing out and winning big gamesthey almost gave it away but then they re-rallied for 3 late TDs after ND rallied to within 3 points with 6 and half minutes to go. ASU is building momentum at the right time of the season and it will continue to flow as they travel this week to play in Corvallis, Oregon versus the OSU Beavers. (the other Oregon college football team). All the Beavers did last weekend was lose to a then 2-7 Washington State football team who had their backup QB throw for over 400 yards and five touchdowns! Yes, OSU allowed a first time starter to have the best starting debut in WSU history! Good luck containing the Sun Devils boys. This weeks contest should be equally exciting because OSU is usually tough at home as they were last week even though they lost.
Arizona State QB Taylor Kelly had his way early and often with the Notre Dame defense. Kelly was 17 of 28 for 224 yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT. Not only did Kelly hook up with WRs Cameron Smith and Jaelen Strong 9 times for an average of 13 yards per completion and 2 TDs but he shared the pigskin with a total of 7 different receivers. Adding to the ASU air attack was RB D.J. Foster who carried the rock 21 times for 120 yards at 5.7 yards per rush. All of this offense was against the No. 10 team in the landhow will Oregon State contain such an arsenal?
OSUs QB Sean Mannion is a seasoned player and will be very competitive this weekend. Mannion had a stellar day last week although in a loss he still managed to put up great numbers. Mannion was 31 of 41 for 419 yards, 1 TD and 0 INTs. Mannions number one target is WR Victor Bolden who pulled in 10 receptions for 126 yards, averaging 10 yards per catch. The Beavers rushing game is non-existent as they only compiled a total of 37 yards on the ground37, thats it. The Beavers will need to work on a ground plan to keep ASUs D honest otherwise it will be a long evening in Corvallis.
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Oregon State enters this game ranked 82nd in points for, and 88th in points allowed (give up nearly 30 per game). ASU comes in to the contest ranked 20th in points for, at 36.7 per game and 51st in points against at 24.9 per game. Both of these teams favor the pass but it is ASU that has a more balanced attack offensively especially with their rushing game which is ranked 44th in the nation with 192 yards per game while OSU is ranked 115th with 108 yards per game. It should be an interesting battle between both QBs as the Sun Devils are ranked 26th in passing and the Beavers are 30th. The pressure will definitely be on both secondary defenses to keep the down-field threats under wraps.
This game favors ASU and will likely be the Sun Devils who hand the Beavers back to back losses in Corvallis in as many weeks. The Devils will finish off their regular season on the road again at Washington State and then at in-state rival Arizona. Some analyst are already penciling in ASU and Oregon to fight it out for the Pac 12 but look out for WSU who is experimenting with a new QB and Arizona at home will be another tough challenge for the Devils. But first, ASU handles the Beavers this week but they do not cover the spread. ASU is arguably one of the most balanced teams in this years race to the title. The Beavers will play with them and in fact, cover the spread, but ASU pulls out the W in pursuit of a shot at the Pac 12 title.
Wilson’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread:Take Oregon State plus the points. Luck to ya.