App State vs. Coastal Carolina Predictions: Will the Chanticleers Cover at Home?

Appalachian State Mountaineers (4-4 SU, ATS 3-4)  vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (4-4 SU, ATS 2-5)

Date: 8:00 EST Thursday, November 7th

Location: Brooks Stadium, Conway, SC

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: ASU +1/CCU -1 (Did you know you can bet on games at -105 instead of -110? Find this incredible money saving offer at BAS Sportsbook!)

Money Line: ASU -106/CCU  -115

Over/Under: 62.5

Both the Appalachian State Mountaineers and Coastal Carolina Chanticleers enter this week 11 matchup with 4-4 records on the season. The game is set for 8:00 ET at Brooks Stadium in Conway, with ESPN handling the television broadcast. The over/under line is at 62.5 points, and the Chanticleers are the slight -1-point favorites at home. The money line odds are -106 for the Mountaineers and -115 for the Chanticleers.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Last season, the Appalachian State Mountaineers and Coastal Carolina Chanticleers did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers have the leg up at 2-1. The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 46 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 2-1.

Appalachian State Mountaineers Recent Form:

Appalachian State enters Week 11 with a 4-4 record, facing Coastal Carolina. They rank 96th in our power rankings and have a 24.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they are 2-1 at home and 1-3 on the road this season.

Their average scoring margin is -7.5 points per game, and they are 3-4 against the spread. As the favorite, they’ve gone 1-2 ATS, while they are 2-2 as the underdog.

This week’s over/under line is set at 62.5 points. Appalachian State’s games have averaged 61.2 points, and their over/under record is 2-4-1, with an average line of 58.7 points.

Heading into week 11, Appalachian State’s offense ranks 76th in points per game, averaging 23.9, and they are 73rd in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is a strength, ranking 26th in attempts and 27th in yards, with 252.2 yards per game. They are 38th in completions.

Quarterback Joey Aguilar has thrown for 2,270 yards and 18 touchdowns but also has ten interceptions. His passer rating is 86. Leading receiver Kaedin Robinson has 764 yards on 48 catches but only one touchdown. The team ranks 81st in rushing, averaging 138.8 yards per game.

Appalachian State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 30.6 points per game. In their recent game against Old Dominion, they gave up 20 points and 498 total yards, including 332 passing yards, though they did manage to force an interception.

Opponents have averaged 226.6 passing yards per game against Appalachian State and 203.2 rushing yards. Quarterbacks have completed 66.2% of their passes, with a passer rating of 109.1 against the Mountaineers’ defense.

Away Injury Report

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Recent Form:

Coastal Carolina enters Week 11 against Appalachian State with a 4-4 record, ranked 94th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 61.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 0.1% chance of winning the Sun Belt this season.

The Chanticleers are 1-2 at home and 2-2 on the road. They’ve been favored in three games, going 2-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -1.5 points per game, and they’ve covered the spread in just two of seven games this season.

Coastal Carolina’s over/under record is 5-2, with their games averaging 63.2 points. This week’s line is set at 62.5 points, significantly higher than their average over/under line of 53.9 points.

Coastal Carolina’s offense is averaging 30.9 points per game, ranking 37th nationally in scoring heading into week 11. They are 64th in our offensive power rankings. Their run game is the focal point, with 175.2 rushing yards per game on 35.5 attempts.

Braydon Bennett leads the rushing attack with 391 yards and seven touchdowns, averaging 6 yards per carry. Quarterback Ethan Vasko has thrown for 1,401 yards with nine touchdowns and four interceptions, posting an 87 passer rating. Coastal Carolina ranks 102nd in third-down conversions, converting just 33.7% of their attempts.

Coastal Carolina’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 32.4 points per game. In their recent game against Troy, they gave up 38 points, surrendering 513 total yards, including 344 rushing yards on 54 attempts.

Opponents have averaged 211.9 rushing yards per game against Coastal Carolina, ranking 161st nationally. The defense has also allowed 217.5 passing yards per game, with a completion rate of 60.4%.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Through their last five road games, Appalachian State has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 25 points per game.
• Across the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers last five home games, the team averaged 27 points per game while allowing 27. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 3-2 straight-up.
• Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Appalachian State has an ATS mark of 6-3-1 while going 4-6 straight up.
• In their last three contests as the favorite, Coastal Carolina has a poor record vs the spread going 1-2. But they still put together a straight-up mark of 2-1.

Free Pick

Although the oddsmakers see this as an even matchup, the Coastal Carolina is sitting at -1 right now. However, I see Coastal Carolina as the better team, with an advantage on both sides of the ball. Getting Coastal Carolina at -1 is a steal, and I’m taking them to cover.

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