ACC Betting Preview: NC State at Georgia Tech Pick

NC State Wolfpack (5-5 SU, ATS 2-7)  vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (6-4 SU, ATS 4-4-1)
Date: 7:30 EST Thursday, November 21st
Location: Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta, GA
TV: ESPN
Point Spread: NCST +9.5/GT -9.5
Money Line: NCST +267/GT  -341
Over/Under: 52.5

ESPN will be covering the week 13 matchup between the NC State Wolfpack and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, set to kick off at 7:30 ET from Bobby Dodd Stadium in Atlanta. The over/under line is at 52.5 points, with the Yellow Jackets as -9.5 point favorites at home. Georgia Tech enters the game with a 6-4 record, while NC State is 5-5 on the season.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Last season, the NC State Wolfpack and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have the leg up at 2-1. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 49 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 0-3.

NC State Wolfpack Recent Form:

NC State enters Week 13 with a 5-5 record, facing Georgia Tech. The Wolfpack are ranked 72nd in our power rankings and have a 45.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are 3-4 at home and 1-1 on the road this season.

Against the spread, NC State is 2-7, with a 1-6 record at home and 1-1 on the road. They’ve been favored in five games, going 1-4 ATS as the favorite. Their average scoring margin this season is -2 points per game.

The over/under line for this week is 52.5 points. NC State’s games have averaged 59.2 points, and their over/under record is 6-3. Their average line has been 49.5 points, with games exceeding the total by an average of 9.7 points.

NC State’s offense is averaging 28.6 points per game heading into week 13, placing them 47th in the nation. They are ranked 102nd in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 40th in passing attempts and 38th in completions, with an average of 240.4 yards per game. They also rank 23rd in completion percentage, completing 65.1% of their passes.

CJ Bailey leads the Wolfpack with 1,793 passing yards and a passer rating of 97. He has thrown 12 touchdowns and five interceptions, completing 64.6% of his passes. KC Concepcion leads the team with 394 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 47 catches. The run game has struggled, averaging 123 rushing yards per game.

NC State’s defense has allowed an average of 30.6 points per game this season, including 29 points in their recent 29-19 loss to Duke. They limited Duke to just 37 rushing yards but gave up 245 passing yards and two touchdowns through the air.

Opponents have averaged 234.6 passing yards per game against NC State, completing 61.7% of their passes. The Wolfpack defense has faced the 24th fewest rushing attempts in the nation, allowing 143.8 rushing yards per game.

Away Injury Report

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Recent Form:

At 6-4, Georgia Tech is 4-1 at home this season. They are 100% likely to be bowl-eligible, but have a 0% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast. The Yellow Jackets are ranked 39th in our CFB power rankings heading into their Week 13 matchup against NC State.

Georgia Tech’s ATS record is 4-4-1, with a +5.2 average scoring margin. They are 3-1-1 against the spread at home and 1-3 on the road. As the favorite, they’ve gone 2-1-1 ATS this season.

Their over/under record is 1-8, with an average over/under line of 56.3 points. This week’s line is 52.5, and their games have averaged 50.2 points per contest.

Georgia Tech’s offense is averaging 27.7 points per game, ranking 52nd in the nation heading into week 13. However, they are 23rd in our offensive power rankings. Their run game has been a strength, with 189.3 rushing yards per game on 36.7 attempts. Jamal Haynes leads the team with 681 rushing yards and nine touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry.

Quarterback Haynes King has completed 72.1% of his passes, throwing for 1,600 yards with nine touchdowns and just one interception. He has a passer rating of 109. Georgia Tech ranks 26th nationally in completion percentage. Malik Rutherford leads the receiving corps with 622 yards on 54 catches, scoring three touchdowns.

Georgia Tech’s defense has been solid against the run this season, ranking 24th nationally by allowing just 110.6 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against Miami, they gave up only 88 rushing yards on 24 attempts. However, the secondary struggled, allowing 348 passing yards and three touchdowns.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged a 100.1 passer rating and completed 63.8% of their passes against Georgia Tech, averaging 226.5 passing yards per game. The defense is ranked 38th in the country, giving up 22.5 points per game.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• In their last ten games away from home, the NC State Wolfpack have a straight-up record of 6-4 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 23 points per game in this stretch.
• Through their last ten home games, Georgia Tech has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 26 points per game.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the NC State Wolfpack have a straight up record of 5-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
• As the betting favorite, the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have an ATS record of 3-1-1 in their last five games. In these matchups, their, straight up record was 4-1.

Free Pick

The biggest value bet heading into this NC State vs Georgia Tech game is on the over/under line, sitting at 52.5 points. Georgia Tech is set to have a huge offensive game vs the WolfPack, and I see NC State putting up enough points to push this game well over the line of 52.5 points. Go ahead and hammer the over before Thursday’s matchup.

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