Yale Bulldogs vs. Princeton Tigers Predictions

Yale Bulldogs (18-11 SU, 13-15-0 ATS) vs. Princeton Tigers (23-5 SU, 12-13-1 ATS)
When: Sunday March 13 2022, 12:00 PM PM (ET)
Where: Lavietes Pavilion

Point Spread: Yale +2.5/Princeton -2.5 (MyBookie)
Total: 145
Money Line: Bulldogs +139/Princeton -169

Key Injuries

Yale Yale has no reported injuries at this time.

Princeton Princeton has no reported injuries at this time.

Recent Form

The Yale Bulldogs come into this matchup with an overall record of 18-11. On the season, the Bulldogs have performed well in their 15 conference games, posting a record of 12-3. This mark is good for 2nd in the Ivy. So far, Yale has won exactly half of their 16 games on the road, sitting at 8-8. Heading into this matchup, the Bulldogs will be looking for their third straight.

The Princeton Tigers get set to host the Bulldogs with an overall record of 23-5. On the season, the Tigers have performed well in their 15 conference games, posting a record of 13-2. This mark is good for 1st in the Ivy. As the Tigers take on the Bulldogs, they are are looking to stay hot as they try to add on to their current 8 game win streak.

For the season, the Yale Bulldogs are averaging 72.0 points per game, good for a rank of 119th in the NCAA. When playing on the road or at neutral sites, the Bulldogs’ scoring average drops to 66 points per game. On the other side, the Princeton Tigers are the 14th ranked scoring offense, averaging 79.2 points per game while giving up 71.5 (227th).

Efficiency Outlook

Yale takes on the Tigers holding the advantage in defensive efficiency, giving up 68.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average) compared to Princeton at 71.0. When playing as the superior defensive unit, the Bulldogs have a record of 16-6. Even though Princeton trails Yale on the defensive end of the court, they enter this game holding the edge on offense. So far, the Tigers are 21-5 with an edge in offensive efficiency. In these games, they hold an average scoring margin of +8.0.

For the year, the Bulldogs are well below the NCAA average in percentage of points from made three-point shots, sitting at just 28.9%. Unlike the Tigers, who have relied on made three-pointers for 40.8% of their scoring, placing them well above the NCAA average. In terms of efficiency, Princeton has been the more efficient team, connecting at a rate of 38.7%, compared to Yale at 32.8%.

Betting Trends Worth Noting

• Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Bulldogs are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games.
• Tigers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as a favorite.
• Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Joe’s Pick Against the Spread

The Yale Bulldogs would have covered a line of +3 in the last three matchups and I don’t think anything changes here. These teams really bring it when they play each other and I’d be surprised if the margin either way touches seven or more at any point in the game. I’m betting on Yale to cover as an underdog!