Western Michigan Broncos vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles Prediction | 2/27/24

Western Michigan Broncos (10-17 SU, 15-11 ATS) vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles (11-16 SU, 12-12-1 ATS)

When: Tuesday, February 27th, 7:00 PM (ET)

Where: George Gervin GameAbove Center, MI, Ypsilanti

TV: ESPN+

Point Spread: WMICH -2.5/EMICH +2.5

Total: 144

Money Line: Western Michigan Broncos -140/+116

Notable Injuries

Broncos

Eagles

Recent Form

Western Michigan comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in six of their 27 games this season. So far, the Broncos have gone 3-3 when favored. On the road, Western Michigan has gone just 2-11, and their average scoring margin away from home is -12.6 points per game.

After their win over Buffalo, Western Michigan comes into this game with a 10-17 record. In their last 10 games, they have gone 2-8 on the road, and their road losing streak currently sits at six games.

Western Michigan’s over/under record for the season sits at 12-14 and today’s line of 144 is right on par with the average OU line in their games. So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is at 136 points.

Western Michigan has an overall ATS record of 15-11 this season, including a mark of 7-6 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last three road games, the Broncos are just 1-2 ATS. As the favorite, Western Michigan is 3-3 vs. the spread this year and 4-6 in their last 10 games as the favorite.

Eastern Michigan will be looking to improve their home record of 6-5 when they take on Western Michigan as 2.5-point underdogs. The Eagles have gone 4-10 in Mid-American Conference play and 11-16 overall.

Eastern Michigan has gone 6-14 when listed as the underdog this season. In their last game, they beat Ball State by a score of 58-56. Over their last 10 games at home, the Eagles have gone 5-5.

Eastern Michigan’s over/under record this season is 11-13-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 142.9 points. Today’s over/under line of 144 is similar to their average over/under line of 144.1. So far, 14 of their games have had higher point totals than today’s line, while 11 have had fewer points. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 129 points.

Eastern Michigan has an ATS record of 12-12-1 this season and they are 6-5 vs. the spread at home. As the underdog, the Eagles have gone 11-9 vs. the spread this year. In their last 3 games as the underdog, Eastern Michigan has an ATS mark of 2-1.

Analysis

Western Michigan’s offense had a good outing, putting up 91 points against Buffalo. They achieved a 44.4% field goal percentage and went 24/32 from the free-throw line. The team’s top scorer is Seth Hubbard, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 14.9, while Jefferson Monegro also carries a PPG average of 9.4 into the game.

At this time, the Broncos’ defense is positioned 238th in the country, permitting 74.5 points per game. The Western Michigan defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 72 points and allowed Buffalo to connect on 11 threes.

Compared to their season average of 67.3 points per game, Eastern Michigan struggled in their previous game. Against Ball State, the Eagles scored 58 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 39.7%. The team’s top scorer is Tyson Acuff, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 21.9, while Arne Osojnik also maintains a PPG average of 8.2 leading up to the game.

So far, the Eagles’ defense is ranked 236th in the country at 74.4 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.9 threes per game vs. Western Michigan. This has come on a three-point shooting percentage of 31.2%.

Betting Trends

• Across their five previous road games, Western Michigan has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-5 while averaging 59 points per game.
• When looking at their past ten home matchups, Eastern Michigan has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 67 per game. The team went 1-9 overall in these games.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Eagles have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-8.
• Through their last five games as the favorite, the Broncos have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 3-2.

Rich Crew’s Total Pick

Take the Under 144.5