Western Michigan Broncos vs. Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview

Western Michigan Broncos (7-10 SU, 10-6 ATS) vs. Bowling Green Falcons (13-4 SU, 8-7 ATS)

When: Saturday, January 20th, 2:00 PM (ET)

Where: Stroh Center, OH, Bowling Green

TV: ESPN+

Point Spread: WMICH +9.5/BOWLGR -9.5

Total: 152

Money Line: Western Michigan Broncos +329/-438

Notable Injuries

Broncos

Falcons

Recent Form

Western Michigan heads into this game as a 9.5-point underdog, and they are 5-9 this season when they are the underdog. On the road this season, the Broncos are 2-6, and their average scoring margin is -9.1 points per game.

Over their last 10 road games, the Broncos have gone just 2-8. In their most recent game, they lost to Akron by a score of 77-66.

Western Michigan’s over/under record for the season sits at 9-7, and today’s line of 152 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (142.7). So far, nine of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 162 points, and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 7-2.

When looking at Western Michigan’s ATS record this season, they have gone 10-6. As the underdog, they have a record of 9-5 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-3 this year and over their last 3 road games, they are 3-0 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Broncos have gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

At home this season, Bowling Green has been dominant. They have won six straight games at home, and their average scoring margin at home is +8.9. Overall, they are 8-2 at home this season.

So far this season, Bowling Green has been favored in nine of their 17 games, and they have gone 8-1 as the favorite. They have a 13-4 record this season, and they are currently on a three-game winning streak.

So far this season, the over/under record for Bowling Green games is 9-6. Today’s over/under line of 152 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (146.9). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 155 points.

As the favorite this season, Bowling Green has gone 5-4 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Falcons have a record of 6-4 vs. the spread.

Analysis

In contrast to their season average of 74.4 points per game, Western Michigan had a below-average performance. They scored 66 points against Akron and had a field goal percentage of 45%. Seth Hubbard is leading the team in scoring at 16.3 points per contest. Jefferson Monegro has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 8.9 going into the game.

Currently, the Broncos’ defense holds the 253rd rank in the nation, allowing 76.2 points per game. Against Akron in their most recent game, the Western Michigan defense gave up a total of 77 points while allowing Akron to hit 50% of their shots.

In their latest game, Bowling Green’s offense put up 78 points against Miami (OH). They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 45.6% and made 7 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Marcus Hill, who holds an average of 20.1 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Rashaun Agee is averaging 12.2 points per game this season.

Coming into today’s game, the Bowling Green defense is giving up an average of 69.2 points per contest. Bowling Green’s three-point defense is currently 73rd in the country at 6.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.6% of their shots vs. Bowling Green.

Betting Trends

• Western Michigan has a 2-3 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 75 points per game while allowing 81. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
• When looking at their past three matchups at home, Bowling Green has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 76 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
• The Broncos have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.
• Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Falcons have a strong record of 5-0. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.

Crew’s Pick To Cover The Spread

Take WMU plus the points