Toledo vs. Kent State: Expert Picks and Predictions – Jan 9 MAC Showdown

Toledo Rockets (8-6 SU, 7-7 ATS) vs. Kent State Golden Flashes (8-6 SU, 5-6 ATS)

When: Tuesday, January 9th, 7:00 PM (ET)

Where: MAC Center, OH, Kent

TV: CBSS

Point Spread: Tol +3/KSU -3 (Bet your games at -105 instead of -110 at BAS Sportsbook!)

Total: 152.5

Money Line: Toledo +129/Kent St. -158

Notable Injuries

Rockets

None

Golden Flashes

None

Recent Form

So far this season, Toledo has a record of 8-6, including a 2-0 mark in Mid-American Conference play. The Rockets have won two straight games and are 3-2 on the road compared to 5-4 at home.

Over their last ten games away from home, Toledo has gone 7-3, and they are 3-4 as the underdog this season. For the year, the Rockets have been the underdog in seven of their 14 games.

This season, the over/under record for Toledo is 8-6, and today’s line of 152.5 is lower than the average over/under line of 156.3 in their games. So far, 5 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 155 points.

Against the spread, Toledo has a 7-7 record this season and is 3-2 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Rockets are 4-3 vs. the spread this year and have gone 5-5 in their last ten games as the underdog. In their last three road games, Toledo has a 2-1 ATS mark.

After winning their last game against Ball State by a score of 82-69, Kent State will look to improve their record to 9-6. At home this season, the Golden Flashes have a record of 4-2, and they have won their last two games at home. Their average scoring margin at home is +9.3 points per game.

So far this season, Kent State has been favored in eight of their 14 games, and they have a record of 5-3 in those games. Overall, their record in the Mid-American Conference is 1-0, and their record in non-conference games is 7-6.

So far this season, the over/under record for Kent State games is 9-2, and today’s line of 152.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (142.4). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in those games is 133 points.

As the favorite, Kent State has gone 4-4 vs. the spread this season and is 5-5 over their last ten games as the favorite. At home, the Golden Flashes have an ATS mark of 3-3 this year and are 5-3 over their last ten games at home.

The Historicals

The Golden Flashes have had the better record vs the spread over the last five games, going 5-0. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 9 points per game. Over the course of these games, they averaged 143 points per game, leading a 1-4 over-under record.

Analysis

In their latest game, Toledo’s offense put up 68 points against Miami (OH). They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 49.1% and made four threes. The team’s top scorer is Ra’Heim Moss, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 15.9, while Dante Maddox Jr. also maintains a PPG average of 15.1 leading up to the game.

Looking at the Toledo defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 78.5 points per game (288th). In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Toledo’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 49.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 35.9% this season.

In their recent matchup, the Kent State offense ended with 82 points against Ball State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 52.8% and made five threes. Chris Payton led the team in scoring, putting up 20 points. Additionally, Voncameron Davis contributed 14 points for the Golden Flashes.

Currently, the Golden Flashes’ defense holds the 187th rank in the nation, allowing 72.5 points per game. Kent State’s three-point defense is currently 135th in the country at 7.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponents have hit 40.3% of their shots vs. Kent State.

Betting Trends

• Toledo has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 78 points per game while allowing 78. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
• In their last ten games at home, the Golden Flashes have a straight-up record of 4-6 while going 3-7 vs. the spread. The team averaged 70 points per game in this stretch.
• In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Rockets have a strong straight-up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
• As the betting favorite, the Golden Flashes have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Kent State posted a straight-up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.

Rich Crew’s ATS Prediction

Not much analysis for this game. The Rockets have feasted on teams at this level, going 8-2 SU. They’ve played well on the road with a 3-1 mark straight-up and against the spread and are 2-0 in MAC play. Take Toledo +3.5.