Texas A&M Aggies vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers Pick | Tournament Predictions

Texas A&M Aggies (20-14 SU, 17-18 ATS) vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers (23-10 SU, 22-11-1 ATS)

When: Friday, March 22nd, 6:50 PM (ET)

Where: FedExForum, TN, Memphis

TV: TNT

Point Spread: TXAM +1/NEBR -1

Total: 147

Money Line: Texas A&M Aggies -105/-117

Notable Injuries

Aggies

• Julius Marble (Out) Personal
• Bryce Lindsay (Out) Undisclosed

Cornhuskers

• Ahron Ulis (Out) Suspension
• C.J. Wilcher (Probable) Illness
• Ramel Lloyd Jr. (Out) Knee
• Blaise Keita (Out) Ankle
• Eli Rice (Out) Ankle

Recent Form

As the underdog, Texas A&M has gone 6-6 this season. They are 20-14 overall and 12-10 in the Southeastern Conference. On the road, the Aggies are 9-8 compared to 12-6 at home.

Over their last ten road games, Texas A&M has gone 5-5. In their most recent game, they lost to Florida by a score of 95-90. So far this season, they have been the underdog in 12 games.

This season, the over/under record for Texas A&M games is 22-13, and the average over/under line in their games is 144.8. Today’s over/under line of 147 is higher than the average scoring total in their games this season of 146.7. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0, and the average scoring total in those games is 173 points.

As the underdog this season, Texas A&M has gone 7-5 against the spread. Their overall ATS mark for the year is 17-18. On the road, the Aggies have an ATS record of 9-8, including a mark of 2-1 in their last three games away from home.

Nebraska enters this game as the favorite, as they have gone 20-1 when favored this season. They have been especially dominant at home, where they are 20-1, compared to 4-9 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +15.0, and they have won their last 14 games at home.

Overall, Nebraska has gone 23-10 this season, including a 14-9 mark in Big Ten play. They are coming off a 98-87 loss to Illinois, but they have been perfect at home over their last 10 games, going 10-0.

So far this season, the over/under record for Nebraska games is 23-11. Today’s over/under line of 147 is right in line with the average over/under line in their games this year (147.4). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 166 points.

As the favorite this season, Nebraska has an ATS record of 17-3-1. At home, their ATS mark sits at 17-3-1 as well. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cornhuskers have gone 10-0 vs. the spread.

Analysis

The Texas A&M offense is coming off a game in which they scored 90 points vs. Florida. Overall their field goal percentage was 42.4% while connecting on 8 threes. On the offensive front, the Aggies have a season-long field goal percentage of 39%, ranking 382nd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 388th in terms of percentage and 226th in three-pointers made.

The Aggies’ defense is presently ranked 158th nationally, allowing an average of 71.3 points per contest. The Texas A&M defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 95 points and allowed Florida to connect on 14 threes.

Nebraska is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 87 points versus Illinois. This output is higher than their season-average of 77.6 points per game. In terms of offense, the Cornhuskers have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, putting them 153rd in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 87th in percentage and 20th in three-pointers made.

The Cornhuskers’ defense is presently ranked 117th nationally, allowing an average of 70.0 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Nebraska’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.5% this season.

Betting Trends

• In their last three road games, Texas A&M has averaged 91 points per game while allowing 80. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
• Across the Cornhuskers’ last ten home games, the team averaged 75 points per game while allowing 82. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 3-7, while going 2-8 straight-up.
• Through their last three games as the underdog, the Aggies have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
• The Cornhuskers have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 5-0 straight up and 5-0 against the spread.

Rich’s Point Spread Pick

In the world of college hoops, controlling the glass can often be the difference-maker, and that’s precisely where the spotlight lands in the matchup between the Texas A&M Aggies and the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Nebraska has faced off against top-tier rebounding squads in Purdue and Illinois, showing mixed results (1-2) but demonstrating resilience, beating Purdue and taking Illinois to overtime in one of those contests.

What really sets Nebraska apart recently is their scorching shooting efficiency, boasting an eFG% of 58.9 over their last trio of games. This, combined with their season-long proficiency (61st in eFG%), ball distribution (15.3 assists per game), and a commendable Ast/To ratio of 1.4, highlights their balanced attack and strategic playmaking.

Given these insights and Nebraska’s ability to both create and capitalize on opportunities, I’ll be banking on the Cornhuskers to cover the spread at -1.5. In a game where every possession counts, Nebraska’s sharpshooting and disciplined play are key advantages. Take Nebraska -1.5.