Texas A&M Aggies vs. Auburn Tigers Predictions 3/11/22

Texas A&M Aggies (21-11 SU, 18-13-0 ATS) vs. Auburn Tigers (27-4 SU, 19-11-1 ATS)
When: Friday March 11 2022, 12:00 PM PM (ET)
Where: Amalie Arena

Point Spread: Texas A&M +8/Auburn -8 (MyBookie)
Total: 139.5
Money Line: Aggies +348/Auburn -473

Key Injuries

Texas A&M Marcus Williams: Personal (OUT) Jalen Johnson: Knee (OUT)

Auburn Auburn has no reported injuries at this time.

Recent Form

The Texas A&M Aggies come into this matchup with an overall record of 21-11. On the season, the Aggies have performed well in their 19 conference games, posting a record of 10-9. This mark is good for 6th in the SEC. In addition to playing well in the SEC, Texas A&M are just above .500 on the road or neutral sites. Through 15 games, the Aggies are 8-7 away from home. Heading into this matchup, the Aggies will be looking for their 6th straight win.

The Auburn Tigers get set to host the Aggies with an overall record of 27-4. On the season, the Tigers have performed well in their 18 conference games, posting a record of 15-3. This mark is good for 1st in the SEC. Heading into this matchup, the Tigers are looking to stay hot, as they try to add on to their current 2 game win streak.

For the season, the Texas A&M Aggies are averaging 72.5 points per game, good for a rank of 110th in the NCAA. When playing on the road, the Aggies’ scoring average drops to 73.6. The team’s defensive performance also takes a hit when playing away from home, giving up an additional 6.0 points per game. On the other side, the Auburn Tigers are the 13th ranked scoring offense, averaging 79.3 points per game while allowing 67.0

Efficiency Outlook

Auburn enters this matchup vs Texas A&M, having played 21 games as the more efficient offense and defensive team. In these contests, they have posted a record of 20-1. Through 31 games, the Tigers are averaging 74.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average), compared to 74.0 for the Tigers. In these situations, Auburn has an average scoring margin of 14.0 points. On the other side, the Aggies are 4-5 as the inferior team on both ends of the court. In these 4 instances, they hold an average scoring margin of 6.0.

For the year, the Aggies are well below the NCAA average in percentage of points from made three-point shots, sitting at just 27.9%. On the other side, the Tigers have been a very balanced scoring unit, with 30.6% of their scoring coming from downtown. In terms of efficiency, Texas A&M has been the more efficient team, connecting at a rate of 33.0%, compared to Auburn at 32.3%.

Betting Trends Worth Noting

• Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
• Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games as a favorite.
• Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.

Joe’s Against the Spread Pick

Fishy point spreads usually lead to fishy results! The Tigers haven’t been shooting the ball well over their last five games. I’m betting the Aggies plus the points!