Suns vs. Rockets: Home Record ATS Bet & Prediction

Houston Rockets (48-26 SU, 39-35 ATS) vs. Phoenix Suns (35-39 SU, 29-44 ATS)

When: Sunday, March 30th, 9:00 PM (ET)

Where: PHX Arena, AZ, Phoenix

TV: NBA

Point Spread: Hou -2.5/Pho +2.5

Total: 224.5

Money Line: Houston Rockets -137/+116

Notable Injuries

Rockets

• Tari Eason (Out) Leg
• Reed Sheppard (Questionable) Thumb

Suns

• Bradley Beal (Out) Hamstring

The Phoenix Suns will host the Houston Rockets at 9:00 ET in a Western Conference matchup. The Rockets are favored by 2.5 points and have a moneyline of -137. The over/under line is set at 224.5.

Houston has won two straight and is 48-26 on the season. Phoenix is 35-39 and has lost two in a row. The game will be played at PHX Arena and can be seen on NBA TV.

Recent Form

Houston improved to 48-26 with a 121-110 win over the Jazz on Thursday. The Rockets were favored by 13.5 points but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 231, surpassing the over/under line of 226.5.

After a tight first half, the Rockets took control in the 3rd quarter, outscoring Utah 36-29. They entered the 4th quarter with an 89-80 lead and edged out the Jazz 32-30 in the final period to secure the win.

The Suns dropped to 35-39 on the season after a 124-109 road loss to the Timberwolves on Friday. Phoenix entered the game as +7.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The combined score of 233 points exceeded the pre-game total of 223.5 by 9.5 points.

After trailing 57-45 at halftime, the Suns fell further behind in the 3rd quarter, going into the 4th down 92-75. Although they outscored Minnesota 34-32 in the final period, it wasn’t enough to close the gap.

The Historicals

The ATS record across the previous five head-to-head meetings is 4-1 in favor of the Rockets. In these matchups, Houston has averaged 113 points per game while allowing 108. Houston and Phoenix averaged a combined 221 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

Analysis

Alperen Şengün led the Rockets to a 121-110 win over the Jazz, scoring 33 points and grabbing 10 rebounds while shooting 57.9% from the field. Jalen Green added 21 points, hitting four threes at a 40% clip, and Tari Eason contributed 15 points, making three threes at 60% efficiency.

Şengün was dominant in the 4th quarter, scoring 14 points, while Green added 8 in the final period. The Rockets shot 46.1% overall, connecting on 12 threes at 32.4%.

Despite giving up 110 points, the Rockets held on for the win against the Jazz. They allowed 24 points in the 1st quarter and 27 in the 2nd, but their defense slipped in the 3rd and 4th, where they gave up 29 and 30 points, respectively.

Houston struggled to contain Utah’s shooting, as the Jazz hit 54% from the field, including 47% from three, with 11 made threes. The Rockets sent Utah to the line 17 times, where they made 13 free throws. Houston also recorded seven steals and five blocks.

In their 124-109 loss to the Timberwolves, the Suns connected on 18 threes, shooting 48.6% from deep and 51.9% overall. Kevin Durant led the way with 23 points despite shooting just 36.8% from the field.

Collin Gillespie added 22 points and 10 assists, hitting four threes at an 80% clip. Royce O’Neale knocked down seven threes, finishing with 21 points, including 12 in the 2nd quarter and 9 in the 4th.

The Suns gave up 124 points to the Timberwolves on Friday, with their toughest stretch coming in the 3rd quarter, where they allowed 35 points. Overall, Phoenix struggled defensively, letting Minnesota shoot 52% from the field.

The Timberwolves also had success from beyond the arc, hitting 19 threes at a 48% clip. The Suns sent Minnesota to the line 13 times, where they made 11 free throws. Defensively, Phoenix recorded six steals and four blocks.

Betting Trends

• Through their last ten road games, Houston has an ATS record of just 3-7. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 110 points per game.
• In their last ten games at home, the Suns have a straight-up record of 2-8 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 118 points per game in these contests.
• Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Suns have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
• Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Rockets have a good straight-up record, but their ATS mark is just 0-3.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

In the last game on Sunday’s slate, the Rockets are favored heading into their matchup vs the Suns. Currently, the line is sitting at +2.5, but I could see this line going up in favor of Houston as the day goes on. I’m jumping on the Rockets at -2.5 now and taking them to cover.