SDSU vs. UConn: Expert Betting Picks & Preview
When: Monday, April 3rd: 9:20 ET
Where: NRG Stadium Houston, TX
TV: CBS
Point Spread: SDST +7.5/UConn -7.5 (Bet it free with a 100% bonus up to $300 when you use bonus promo code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!)
Total: 132.5
Money Line: San Diego State Aztecs +293/Connecticut Huskies -379
San Diego State (27-6 SU, 18-18 ATS) will face off against Connecticut (25-8 SU, 26-12 ATS) on Monday, April 3rd at 9:20 PM ET. The game will take place at NRG Stadium in Houston, TX, and will be televised on CBS. The point spread for this matchup is set at SDST +7.5 and UConn -7.5, with a total line of 132.5. Moneyline bettors can get the San Diego State Aztecs at +293 or the Connecticut Huskies -379.
Line Movement
A few sportsbooks that we track opened this game with Connecticut a -6.5 spread favorite, but that was quickly bet up to -7.5 where it is a consensus line. The Total hit the board at 131.5 and moved as high as 133 before settling in at 132.5.
Last Game Info
San Diego State is coming off a 72-71 win over Florida Atlantic. However, they did not cover the spread in the game as -2 point favorites. The combined 143 points finished above the 130.5 total line.
Connecticut picked up a victory over Miami (FL) by a score of 72-59. Heading into the game, the Huskies were favored to win, with a point spread of -5.5. The combined 131 points did not surpass the 148.5 total line.
Current Form
San Diego State
Over their last five games, San Diego State has a straight-up record of 5-0 while going 4-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Aztecs’ offense averages 63.4 points per game while hitting 39.3% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 37.7% from the field while allowing 56.6 points per contest.
Connecticut
In their previous five contests, Connecticut is 5-0 straight-up and 5-0 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 79.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 48.6%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 41.2% of their shots while giving up 68.0 points per game.
Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played
This season, the combined power rating of San Diego State’s opponents comes in at 82.6. On the other side, Connecticut’s combined opponent power rating sits at 84.2.
How Does San Diego State Fare On Neutral Courts?
This season, the Aztecs are 9-3 in games on neutral courts.
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How Does Connecticut Fare On Neutral Courts?
This season, the Huskies are 9-1 in games on neutral courts.
Offense vs. Defense
For the season, San Diego State is averaging 65.3 points per game (374th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 43.3%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Connecticut defense that has allowed an average of 65.0 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 40.9% of their shots vs. Connecticut. Conversely, the Connecticut Huskies are coming into the game averaging 75.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.6%. The Huskies will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 63.6 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 40.4% of their shots vs. the Aztecs.
Three-Point Shooting
From beyond the arc, San Diego State has a shooting percentage of 35.8% while ranking 622nd in attempts per game. The Aztecs will be facing a Connecticut defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 29.3%. Connecticut enters the game, having hit 35.4% of their looks from deep while averaging 7.44 made threes per game. On the other end, San Diego State has allowed opponents to hit 28.4% of their shots from beyond the arc.
Injuries Of Note
San Diego State
- No Reported Injuries
Connecticut
- No Reported Injuries
Pick Against The Spread
The Total is the top pick for the SDSU vs. UConn matchup. Despite doubts about SDSU’s defense due to their conference, they’ve consistently held strong offenses to low scores. UConn’s defense has also been impressive, keeping tournament opponents under 65 points. With SDSU’s recent 12-game Under streak and UConn’s 2-7 O/U record in their last nine, the Total is the key focus in this game.
