Saint Peters Peacocks vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

Saint Peters Peacocks (22-11 SU, 23-9-0 ATS) vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (27-9 SU, 19-16-1 ATS)

When: Sunday March 27 2022, 5:05 PM PM (ET)

Where: Wells Fargo Center

Point Spread: Saint Peters +7.5/North Carolina -7.5

Total: 137.5

Money Line: Peacocks +297/North Carolina -387

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Key Injuries

Saint Peters
St Peters has no reported injuries at this time.

North Carolina
Dawson Garcia: Personal (OUT)
Anthony Harris: Undisclosed (OUT)

Recent Form

The Saint Peters Peacocks come into this matchup with an overall record of 22-11. In the Peacocks’ matchup with North Carolina, they will look to keep their Cinderella season alive by picking up their 11th straight win, dating back to the end of February.

The North Carolina Tar Heels get set to host the Peacocks with an overall record of 27-9. On the season, the Tar Heels have performed well in their 14 non-conference games, posting a record of 11-3. So far, North Carolina has won exactly half of their 8 games at neutral sites, sitting at 4-4. Heading into this matchup, the Tar Heels are looking to pick up their 4th straight win.

For the season, the Saint Peters Peacocks are averaging 66.9 points per game, good for a rank of 265th in the NCAA. Defensively, the Peacocks are the 21st ranked unit, giving up just 62.8 points per game. On the other side, the North Carolina Tar Heels are the 17th ranked scoring offense, averaging 78.3 points per game while allowing 71.8.

Efficiency Outlook

Saint Peters take on the Tar Heels holding the advantage in defensive efficiency, giving up 63.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average) compared to North Carolina at 69.0. When playing as the superior defensive unit, the Peacocks have a record of 21-10. Even though North Carolina trails Saint Peters on the defensive end of the court, they enter this game holding the edge on offense. So far, the Tar Heels are 21-5 with an edge in offensive efficiency. In these games, they hold an average scoring margin of 11.0.

For the year, the Peacocks are well below the NCAA average in percentage of points from made three-point shots, sitting at just 25.9%. On the other side, the Tar Heels have been a very balanced scoring unit, with 32.7% of their scoring coming from downtown.

Betting Trends Worth Noting

• Peacocks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as an underdog.
• Peacocks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Tar Heels are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

Joe’s Against the Spread Pick

St. Peter’s hasn’t faced a team like the Tar Heels and don’t match up well at all. Look for UNC to stomp the daylights out of them. Be sure to check out the rest of my NCAA Tournament picks!