Rutgers at Nebraska ATS Pick 3/3/24

Rutgers Scarlet Knights (15-13 SU, 13-15 ATS) vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers (20-9 SU, 18-10-1 ATS)

When: Sunday, March 3rd, 6:30 PM (ET)

Where: Pinnacle Bank Arena, NE, Lincoln

TV: BTN

Point Spread: RUTGER +8/NEBR -8

Total: 139.5

Money Line: Rutgers Scarlet Knights +290/-383

Notable Injuries

Scarlet Knights

• Mawot Mag (Questionable) Undisclosed
• Emmanuel Ogbole (Questionable) Undisclosed

Cornhuskers

• Jarron Coleman (Out) Undisclosed
• Ahron Ulis (Out) Suspension
• Ramel Lloyd Jr. (Out) Knee
• Blaise Keita (Out) Ankle
• Eli Rice (Out) Ankle

Recent Form

Despite a record of 15-13, Rutgers has struggled on the road this season, going just 3-7 away from home. Their average scoring margin in road games is -9.2, and they have lost two straight.

However, the Scarlet Knights are coming off a dominant 82-52 win over Michigan. They are 4-9 as underdogs this season and have gone 2-3 in their last five road games.

Today’s over/under line of 139.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Rutgers’ games this season (136.9). So far, the over/under record for the Scarlet Knights is 9-19. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points, which is slightly higher than their season average of 132.6. Over their last 10 games, their over/under record is 3-7.

As the underdog, Rutgers has gone 6-7 against the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Scarlet Knights have an ATS record of 5-5. On the road this year, Rutgers has gone 4-6 vs. the spread.

Nebraska will look to get back on track after a loss to Ohio State in their last game. The Cornhuskers have been dominant at home this season, going 17-1, and they have won 11 straight games at home.

Overall, Nebraska has a record of 20-9, and their record in Big Ten play is 10-8. As the favorite, the Cornhuskers have a record of 16-1, and they have gone 10-0 in their last 10 games at home.

Today’s over/under line of 139.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Nebraska’s games this season (147.3). So far, 21 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 142 points.

As the favorite, Nebraska has been fantastic vs. the spread this season, going 13-3-1. They have also been great ATS at home, going 14-3-1 this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cornhuskers are 8-2 vs. the spread.

Analysis

Rutgers finished with 82 points in their game against Michigan. This total surpasses their season average of 66.7 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Clifford Omoruyi, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 11, while Aundre Hyatt also carries a PPG average of 10.9 into the game.

At this time, the Scarlet Knights’ defense is positioned 34th in the country, permitting 65.9 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.1 threes per game vs. Nebraska. This has come on a three-point shooting percentage of 31.9%.

In contrast to their season average of 76.8 points per game, the Nebraska had a below average performance. They scored 69 points against Ohio State and had a field goal percentage of 38.8%. The team’s top scorer is Keisei Tominaga, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 13.9, while Brice Williams also carries a PPG average of 12.7 into the game.

At present, the Cornhuskers’ defense is nationally ranked 110th, allowing 69.8 points per game. The Nebraska defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 78 points and allowed Ohio State to connect on 8 threes.

Betting Trends

• Through their last ten road games, Rutgers has an ATS record of just 4-6. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 65 points per game.
• Through their last five home games, Nebraska has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 71 points per game.
• Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Scarlet Knights have a straight-up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
• Through their last five games as the favorite, the Cornhuskers have an ATS record of 5-0 and a straight-up mark of 5-0.

Rich Crew’s Point Spread Pick

Take Nebraska -7.5 -120