Richmond Spiders vs. Davidson Wildcats Pick ATS 3/13/22

Richmond Spiders (22-12 SU, 15-18-1 ATS) vs. Davidson Wildcats (27-5 SU, 20-11-0 ATS)
When: Sunday March 13 2022, 1:00 PM PM (ET)
Where: Capital One Arena

Point Spread: Richmond /Davidson -7 (BetNow)
Total: 138.5
Money Line: Spiders +43/Davidson -174

Key Injuries

Richmond Richmond has no reported injuries at this time.

Davidson Davidson has no reported injuries at this time.

Recent Form

The Richmond Spiders come into this matchup with an overall record of 22-12. On the season, the Spiders have performed well in their 21 conference games, posting a record of 13-8. This mark is good for 6th in the Atlantic 10. In addition to playing well in the Atlantic 10, Richmond has performed well on the road or at neutral sites. Through 19 games, the Spiders are 11-8 away from home. Heading into this matchup, the Spiders are looking to stay hot, as they try to add on to their current 3 game win streak.

The Davidson Wildcats get set to host the Spiders with an overall record of 27-5. On the season, the Wildcats have performed well in their 20 conference games, posting a record of 17-3. This mark is good for 1st in the Atlantic 10. Heading into this matchup, the Wildcats are seeking their third straight win.

For the season, the Richmond Spiders are averaging 71.9 points per game, good for a rank of 120th in the NCAA. When playing on the road, the Spiders’ scoring average drops to 70 points per contest. On the other side, the Davidson Wildcats are the 56th ranked scoring offense, averaging 75.0 points per game while giving up 65.9 (66th).

Efficiency Outlook

Davidson enters this matchup vs Richmond, having played 29 games as the more efficient offense and defensive team. In these contests, they have posted a record of 25-4. In these situations, Davidson has an average scoring margin of 10.0 points. On the other side, the Spiders have played 4 games as the inferior team on both ends of the court, holding an average scoring margin of -4 points in these contests.

In terms of three-point shooting, Davidson has been more efficient on these shots, connecting on 38.6% compared to 33.8% for Richmond.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

• Spiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as an underdog.
• Spiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
• Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
• Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Joe’s Against the Spread Pick

The Spiders fall into a metric that is always one of the most important to take into consideration when betting on college basketball; The Spiders shoot a lower percentage than they allow on defense. This is a huge red flag and one that can’t be ignored. On the other hand, Davidson shoots the ball well AND plays defense. I expected this spread to be around -7, so naturally, I’m banging the Wildcats minus the points, despite Richmond beating them twice straight up over the last three matchups!