Purdue Boilermakers vs. Wisconsin Badgers BVest Bet | Feb 4, 2024

Purdue Boilermakers (20-2 SU, 12-7-2 ATS) vs. Wisconsin Badgers (16-5 SU, 11-9 ATS)

When: Sunday, February 4th, 1:00 PM (ET)

Where: Kohl Center, WI, Madison

TV: CBS

Point Spread: PUR -2.5/WISC +2.5

Total: 146.5

Money Line: Purdue Boilermakers -141/+116

Notable Injuries

Boilermakers

Badgers

• Kamari McGee (Out) Foot
• Gus Yalden (Out) Personal

Recent Form

With a record of 20-2, Purdue has been dominant this season, and they have been especially good on the road. Their average scoring margin on the road is +6.2, and they have won three straight games away from home.

As the favorite, Purdue has gone 18-2 this season, and they are favored by 2.5 points in this game. Their last game was a 68-60 win over Rutgers, and they have won five straight games.

So far this season, the over/under record in Purdue games is 14-7 and today’s line of 146.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games of 148.7. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 164 points and in their last five games, the average point total is 159. On the year, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

Against the spread, Purdue is 12-7-2 this season. On the road, the Boilermakers have gone 4-3-1 vs. the spread and are 2-1 in their last three road games vs. the spread. As the favorite, Purdue is 11-7-2 vs. the spread this year and 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite.

Wisconsin has been dominant at home this season, going 13-1 with an average scoring margin of +14.1 points per game. They have won their last 12 games at home and are 10-0 in their last 10.

So far, the Badgers have been the underdog in six games, going 4-2 in those contests. They are 16-5 overall and 8-1 in Big Ten play.

Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Wisconsin’s games this year (137.5). This season, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and their average scoring total in those games is 139 points. On the year, their over/under record is 11-8-1.

Wisconsin has an overall ATS record of 11-9 this season, including a home ATS mark of 9-5. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Badgers have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

Analysis

Compared to their season average of 85.8 points per game, Purdue struggled in their previous game. Against Rutgers, the Boilermakers scored 68 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.9%. The team’s top scorer is Zach Edey, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 23.4, while Lance Jones also carries a PPG average of 12.7 into the game.

At this time, the Boilermakers’ defense is positioned 117th in the country, permitting 70.0 points per game. In their previous game vs. Rutgers, the Scarlet Knights finished with a field goal percentage of 37% and a total of 60 points vs. Purdue.

Wisconsin is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 81 points versus Michigan State. This output is higher than their season-average of 75.8 points per game. One area that the Wisconsin offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 149th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 47%.

Currently, the Badgers’ defense holds the 70th rank in the nation, allowing 67.5 points per game. The Wisconsin defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 66 points and allowed Michigan State to connect on 9 threes.

Betting Trends

• The Boilermakers are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
• Through their last ten home games, Wisconsin has an ATS record of just 3-7. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 67 points per game.
• In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Badgers have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
• Purdue has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.

Rich’s Total Pick

Take the Under 146.5