Providence Friars vs. Seton Hall Pirates Betting Preview & Predictions

Providence Friars (12-6 SU, 11-7 ATS) vs. Seton Hall Pirates (13-6 SU, 8-9 ATS)

When: Wednesday, January 24th, 6:30 PM (ET)

Where: Prudential Center, NJ, Newark

TV: FS1

Point Spread: PROV +4.5/SETON -4.5 (Take advantage of reduced juice daily at BAS!)

Total: 137

Money Line: Providence Friars +155/-193

Notable Injuries

Friars

• Bryce Hopkins (Out) Knee
• Justyn Fernandez (Out) Knee

Pirates

• JaQuan Harris (Out) Knee

Recent Form

Providence heads into tonight’s game as the underdog, as they are 2-3 this season in that role. They are 12-6 overall and 3-4 in Big East play. On the road, the Friars are 2-3, and their average scoring margin is +2.6.

Coming off a 100-62 win over DePaul, Providence’s record in their last 10 road games is 3-7. Seton Hall is favored by 4.5 points, and the over/under is set at 137.

Providence’s over/under record for the season sits at 6-12 and today’s line of 137 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (141.4). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 4-6.

As the underdog this season, Providence has an ATS record of 4-1 and an overall ATS record of 11-7. On the road, the Friars are 4-1 vs. the spread and 5-5 in their last 10 road games. In their last three games as the underdog, Providence is 3-0 ATS and they have an ATS mark of 6-4 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Seton Hall is favored by 4.5 points at home against Providence. The Pirates have been dominant at home this season, going 8-1 with an average scoring margin of +13.3 points per game. They have won their last three games at home and are 4-1 in their last five.

Overall, Seton Hall is 13-6 this season, including a 5-1 record in Big East play. They have won four straight games and are 8-2 in their last ten at home. So far, they have been the favorite in eight games, going 7-1.

Seton Hall’s over/under record this season is 8-9. The average over/under line in their games is 140.7 and today’s line of 137 is lower than the average line in their games. This year, 13 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 137. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 162 points.

Seton Hall has an ATS record of 8-9 this season and they are 5-4 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 3 games as the favorite, the Pirates are 0-3 and they have gone just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite.

Analysis

Coming off their recent game, the Providence offense tallied 100 points in a matchup against DePaul. Their field goal percentage for the game was 58.3%, and they made 10 threes. The team’s top scorer is Devin Carter, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 18.4, while Josh Oduro also carries a PPG average of 14.3 into the game.

At this time, the Friars’ defense is positioned 44th in the country, permitting 65.7 points per game. In their previous game vs. DePaul, the Blue Demons finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 62 points vs. Providence.

In their previous game, the Pirates’ offense finished with 78 points, which is right in line with their current average of 75.1 points per contest. In terms of offense, the Pirates have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, putting them 106th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 230th in percentage and 326th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Pirates’ defense is positioned 111st in the country, permitting 70.2 points per game. In their most recent game, the Seton Hall defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Butler knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 72 points.

Betting Trends

• In their last five road games, Providence has averaged 71 points per game while allowing 68. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 4-1.
• The Pirates are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 3-0 straight-up.
• Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Friars have gone 4-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
• The last ten games that Seton Hall was favored, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 8-2 straight up.

Crew’s Pick To Cover The Spread

Seton Hall’s Home Court Scoring Prowess: The Pirates have shown they can light up the scoreboard, especially at home. Averaging over 75 points per game this season, they’ve got a knack for finding the basket, particularly in familiar territory. Their offensive rhythm at home, combined with players like Kadary Richmond, who’s dropping over 16 points per game, suggests they’re likely to contribute a hefty portion to the total score. In a game where they’ll feel the need to bounce back from a recent loss, expect them to push the pace and keep the scoreboard ticking.

Providence’s Offensive Efficiency: Despite the absence of Bryce Hopkins, Providence isn’t exactly slacking in the scoring department. They’re coming off a big win where they put up a massive score. With players like Devin Carter, who’s been on a scoring tear lately, they have the firepower to keep up with Seton Hall. Carter’s been dropping around 18 points per game, and his recent form suggests he’s up for another big night. Moreover, Josh Oduro’s shooting efficiency (50% in recent games) adds another layer of scoring reliability for the Friars.

Defensive Vulnerabilities: While Providence has a solid defense, Seton Hall’s defensive record this season is a bit more suspect, allowing an average of over 70 points per game. This defensive gap could be exploited by Providence’s efficient scorers. Additionally, even strong defenses can be overwhelmed by high-paced offenses or in games where foul trouble leads to free throws, further contributing to the total score.

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