Predictem College Basketball Archives: January 2012 Through April 2012

SMU Hires New Coach: Larry Brown has accepted the head coaching job at Southern Methodist University. Brown has a very successful track record in the NCAA winning over 70% of his games with Kansas and UCLA. – 4/23

NCAA Championship Pick: Kansas Jayhawks/Kentucky Wildcats UNDER 139 points. – 4/2

Saturday March Madness Play Ohio State Buckeyes -3. – 3/31

Friday College Hoops Play: Washington State/Pittsburgh UNDER 128 points. ***3 UNIT BEST BET ALERT*** – 3/30

UNC to Lose 3 Key Players: Sophomore F Harrison Barnes, Junior PF John Henson and Soph. PG Kendall Marshall all are entering the NBA draft. – 3/29

Thursday Hoops: Today’s lone game has no wagering value so we’re passing. – 3/29

Wednesday CIT Pick: Mercer +5.5. ***3 UNIT BEST BET ALERT*** – 3/28

Tuesday College Baskets: Both of today’s games are very evenly match. Sometimes the best pick you can make is a pass. We’re sitting sidelines today as we have no clue on either side or total. – 3/27

Monday College Hoops Play: Pittsburgh/Washington St. UNDER 132.5. – 3/26

Sunday March Madness Predictions: Kansas Jayhawks -1.5. – 3/25

Saturday March Madness Picks: Ohio St. Buckeyes -3. – 3/24

Friday March Madness Betting Prediction: Kansas Jayhawks at -8.5. This is a great game to throw into a teaser if you have a second pick to go with it. – 3/23

Thursday March Madness Picks: Florida Gators +2. – 3/22

Wednesday College Hoops Bet Recommendation: Minnesota Golden Gophers +3.5. – 3/21

Tuesday College Basketball Picks: Drexel -8. – 3/20

Monday College Hoops Picks: Princeton +7 and Middle Tennessee +4.5. – 3/19

Sunday College Hoops Selection: Bucknell +3.5. – 3/18

Saturday March Madness Picks: Colorado Buffaloes +7.5. – 3/17

Friday March Madness Picks: Memphis -3. We might be adding more soon! – 3/16

Thursday March Madness Picks: Gonzaga Bulldogs -1. – 3/15

Wednesday NCAA Hoops Plays: Idaho Vandals -1. Other plays we like today include: Lamar/Vermont UNDER 129, Central Fla/Drexel UNDER 124.5, Northern Iowa/St. Josephs UNDER 130.5 and Bucknell +8. – 3/14

Tuesday College Hoops: Mississippi Valley State +3.5. – 3/13

Ineligible: Syracuse C Fab Melo has been dubbed ineligible for the NCAA Tournament due to grades. Melo, the Big East defensive player of the year bolstered Cuses’ 2-3 zone. His season numbers consisted of 7.8 points, 5.8 rebounds and 88 swats. – 3/13

Sunday College Hoops Prediction: Michigan St. +2.5. – 3/11

Saturday: Ohio State Buckeyes -7.5. – 3/10

Friday NCAA Hoops Plays: Oregon State +2.5. – 3/9

Thursday: We got a late start and are passing today. – 3/8

Wednesday Men’s Hoops: Lehigh/Bucknell OVER 127.5. – 3/7

Tuesday’s Plays: Bethune-Cookman -8.5. – 3/6

Monday College Basketball: Northern Illinois/Eastern Michigan UNDER 107.5. – 3/5

Sunday NCAA Hoops: Old Dominion/Drexel OVER 120.5 points. – 3/4

Saturday College Hoops: Syracuse -8.5. – 3/3

Friday NCAA Hoops Pick: Harvard/Columbia UNDER 117. – 3/2

Thursday College Basketball Picks: New Mexico State +3.5. – 3/1

Wednesday College Basketball Selections: South Florida/Louisville UNDER 119. – 2/29

Tuesday NCAA Hoops: Florida Gators +3.5. – 2/28

Monday NCAA Hoops Plays: Radford/VMI UNDER 149 points. – 2/27

Sunday College Basketball Action: Florida St/Miami UNDER 130.5. – 2/26

Saturday College Basketball Best Bet: Western Illinois/North Dakota St. OVER 119.5 ***3 UNIT BEST BET ALERT!*** – 2/25

Friday College Basketball: Passing. – 2/24

Thursday College Hoops Plays: Eastern Illinois Panthers +6 and Sacramento State Hornets +2. – 2/23

Wednesday NCAA Hoops Plays: UC Riverside Pick’em, Michigan St/Minnesota UNDER 127.5 and East Carolina +14.5. – 2/22

Tuesday College Basketball Picks: Evansville at +10 and Colorado St. at +5.5. – 2/21

Monday NCAA Hoops Play: Depaul +5. – 2/20

Saturday/Sunday: PASSING. – 2/18 and 2/19

Friday College Basketball Picks: Columbia +6. – 2/17

Thursday College Hoops Plays: West Virginia +3. – 2/16

Wednesday NCAA Hoops Predictions: Villanova +2, Georgia Tech -1.5, St. Bonaventure +1.5, UNC Greensboro +4. – 2/15

Tuesday Recap: (1-1) Clemson had a nice easy win in beating Virginia by 12. Our So. Illinois pick crapped out getting beat bad ATS by 12.5. – 2/14

Tuesday NCAA Hoops Plays: So. Illinois +6.5 and Clemson -1.5. – 2/14

Monday Recap: K. State lost by 6, which means we fell short by a bucket. – 2/13

Monday NCAA Basketball Picks: Kansas State +4. We show this line to be inflating Kansas by an extra 3.2 points! – 2/13

Sunday Recap: (2-2) Might things finally be starting to turn around? We’re 4-2 in our last 6 games. Maybe the monkey is finally off our back. We’ve surely got our work cut out for us! Sunday was fairly uneventful as we kissed our sister (went 2-2). Georgetown only won by 10 in a game where they were favored by 14.5, USC put up an absolute dud only scoring 47 points at home vs. Stanford (we lost to the spread by 6.5). Our winners came a bit easier with the Washington Huskies winning straight up at Oregon State as +4 dogs (beat spread by 7) and our NW/Purdue pick flew over the total by a whopping 26.5 points, thanks to two teams that aren’t currently playing any defense. – 2/12

Sunday College Hoops Action: Georgetown Hoyas -14.5, Washington Huskies +4, Northwestern/Purdue OVER 137.5 and USC +5.5. – 2/12

Saturday Recap: (1-0) I wish they were all that easy! The Shockers won straight up by 21 points as a +1 underdog! – 2/11

Saturday College Basketball Prediction: Wichita St +1. – 2/11

Friday Recap: (1-0) It’s about damn time that we have a good solid winner. Loyola-MD won straight up by 6 points as a 2.5 underdog, meaning we beat the spread by a healthy 8.5 points. – 2/10

Friday NCAA Hoops Prediction: We like Loyola-MD at +2.5 today. In case you haven’t been following our recent results, please be advised that we’ve had is probably one of the two worst runs we’ve ever had since we started handicapping games back in the 90’s. We’d recommend either sitting on the sidelines until we start producing positive results or limiting bets to “lunch money” at best. Good luck today. – 2/10

Thursday Recap: (0-1) Our college basketball picks continue to stink regardless of what handicapping style we’re using. The University of Portland got beat up at home by a whopping 14 points meaning that we lost to the spread by 10. LMU was lights out from 3 point range hitting 10-19 for 53%. We weren’t the only ones who liked Portland either, as the line dropped from +4 down to +3 shortly before gametime, which is an indication of sharp action. Our recent nasty losing streak is embarrassing to say the least, but we’re going to stick to our guns with the theory that good teams win and bad teams cover. Remember that sports betting is a marathon, not a sprint and that streaks do happen. – 2/9

Thursday College Hoops Picks: Portland Pilots +4. – 2/9

Wednesday Recap: (1-2) Rice covered nicely with 6 extra points to spare. Our Syracuse pick was a dud with them winning straight up but not covering (lost ATS by 6). Lastly, St. Bonaventure which turned out to be a wiseguy play, lost by 9 straight up, falling short by 5.5 to the spread. – 2/8

Wednesday NCAA Basketball Selections: Rice -2, Syracuse -9 and St. Bonaventure +3.5. – 2/8

Tuesday Recap: (1-1) Clemson not only didn’t cover the point spread, they lost straight up by 2 points. Evansville was an easy winner taking the game straight up by 8 points resulting in a cover by 13.5 points. – 2/7

Tuesday College Hoops: Our top play today is Clemson -9. We also like Evansville at +5.5. Good luck! – 2/7

Tuesday Recap: (0-1) Wofford lost by 22, meaning we lost badly by 11.5 points. Our projections model isn’t working even close to what it has in the past, so we’re going to handicap college hoops a different way for a bit, until it starts cranking out consistent numbers. – 2/6

Monday: Wofford +10.5. – 2/6

Sunday: Passing. – 2/5

Saturday NCAA Basketball Picks: Northern Iowa +1.5, Kansas +3, Georgia +7.5, Northern Arizona +4, Tennessee State +1. – 2/4

Friday Recap: 0-1) We bombed out again. This negative run is almost unbelievable and surely one of our worst ever. One guy even emailed us asking why we make picks if their all losers. Many of our readers feel the same and we don’t blame them. Our recent results have been pathetic. We WILL get back on track though. We’ve been doing this since the mid 90’s and during that period we’ve been through many spells/streaks, both good and bad. It’ll turn around, it always does. – 2/4

Friday College Hoops: Brown +7. We make this line to be Brown +3. It wouldn’t surprise us a bit to see Brown win straight up. Good luck! – 2/3

Wednesday Recap: (Pushed) Northern Arizona had the lead at the half but couldn’t get it done. Considering how cold we’ve been with college hoops, we’re actually happy to take a push here lol. – 2/2

Wednesday: Northern Arizona +6. This play is based on Eastern Washington being a crappy road team (4-9 on the road and they only shoot 38% away from home) and our prediction model showing that N. Arizona should be +2 dogs here. Eastern Washington is also only 1-4 in their last 5 games. – 2/1

Tuesday Recap: (0-2) We got creamed.

Tuesday’s Picks: Our top play is Air Force at +8.5. We believe the line is off 2 points and should be +6.5. Air Force only allows opponents to hit 37% of their shots at home which should translate to a cover. The other team we like is Texas Tech +3. The game opened at 4 and has dropped to 3 despite the general betting public one siding Oklahoma St. Our numbers show that they should be +1.5, so there’s still some value here. Good luck! – 1/31

Monday Recap: (2-1) Posted shortly. – 1/30

Monday College Hoops: We don’t usually play many games on days where there’s a short card, but surprisingly we like 3 today. Our top play is Princeton getting +1.5 at Penn. We think Princeton should actually be favored here. We’re predicting a close game with Princeton coming out on top by 2-4 points. The second game we like is Texas +1.5 at home vs. Missouri. We like Texas to win this game straight up by 3 points. Lastly, we like Northern Arizona getting +3 at home vs. No. Colorado. We really wanted to make this our best play of the day but this team can be so bad at times that we just can’t do it. With that being said, we do believe that the line is off 4.5 points and that they’ll win by a bucket or more. Good luck! – 1/30

Sunday Recap: (1-0) The Beavs finished strong in the 2nd half and came through for the win and cover by 6.5. – 1/29

Sunday NCAA Basketball Selections: We only like one today, the Oregon State Beavers +1.5. Good luck today! – 1/29

Saturday Recap: (1-2) Our top play (Kentucky/LSU UNDER 133) cash as expected and with 9 points to spare. Our BSU pickem crapped out, losing by 11 and Georgetown failed to cover the +1 as they lost to the spread by 11 points. To make matters worse, our projection model told us that Colorado St at +2 was a play but we chickened out and then the Rams proceeded to blow out a GOOD San Diego St. game by 17 points. The reason we mention this isn’t to cry about a “coulda-shoulda-woulda”, but to note that this is a good sign that maybe things are starting to swing back our way. Lastly, our projection model told us that Illinois St. at -9 was a play to beat Southern Illinois. We researched the game and saw that the game is somewhat of a rivalry and that the numbers didn’t make sense. Go figure, Ill. St. blows So. Illinois out by 20. – 1/28

Saturday College Hoops: Enter with caution! Our college basketball prediction model has been very erratic this week. You might wonder why the hell we’d keep with it. The answer is because it’s worked long term. With that being said, you might want to pass and sit on the sidelines until it starts producing consistent positive results. Our strongest play for Saturday is the UNDER 133 in the LSU/Kentucky game. We project the game to land around 126-127 points. Our second pick is Boise St. at a pickem at home vs. Wyoming. We like the Broncos to win by 4+ points. Lastly, we like Georgetown at +1 on the road at Pitt. We believe the Hoyas should be favored by 3.5 here + Pitt has struggled lately. Good luck! – 1/28

Friday: We’re passing. – 1/27

Thursday Recap: (2-3) For the third time this week we had a team score in the 40’s which is just an absolute ball buster. It’s so improbable for a team to score in the 40’s, I can’t hardly even believe it’s happened to us 3 times this week. We apologize for the loser best bet we put out, but as usual, we’d make that same play 100x over given the same opportunity. Needless to say, we’re feeling a snake-bit, but the prediction model that we’ve used in recent years has always done well, so we’re going to stick to our guns and keep rolling with it. To make matters worse, our Santa Clara (+3) prediction bombed out by a whopping 10 points. Our third loser of the day was another surprising result, where Western Carolina (-6.5), lost straight up to Elon by 8 points. Luckily, we salvaged 2 winners with The Citadel (+9.5) sneaking in for a cover by +2.5 and Tennessee Chat (+8) only losing by a point. Friday’s card is filled with Ivy League junker’s and a few conferences that we prever to avoid so it’s very likely that we won’t have any plays. – 1/26

Thursday College Hoops Predictions: We’ve got a rare 3 unit best bet with the OVER 125 in the Eastern Illinois/Jacksonville St. game! We believe that there will be 134+ points scored here! We’ve also got a top play in WCC action where we feel that the wrong team is favored in the SF/Santa Clara game. The Santa Clara Broncos are currenty listed at +3 and we believe that they’ll win this game straight up by as many as 4 points! Other value plays include The Citadel at home getting +9 (Our projection model says that they should be +1.5), Tennessee Chat at +8 (we feel that they have a shot of winning this game straight up) and lastly we project Western Carolina (-6.5) to blow out Elon by 15+ points. – 1/26

Wednesday Recap: (2-2) Our Best Bet Boise St. (+9.5) covered nicely as expected with the Broncos only losing by 5. The Ill-Chicago/Wright St. (Over 115.5) game covered with a whopping 16 extra points to spare as well. In our losses, we were left holding our head in our hands for the second straight day, as we were victims to another good team completely crapping out (Seton Hall scored 42 at home, WTF?) shooting only 26% from the field and at home no less! Despite our Penn St/Ohio St. under losing by 5 points, it’s a pick that we’d make 100 times over, unfortunately we just got victimized by the 40% probability of losing rather than the 60% chance of winning. Sports betting is a grind and a marathon to say the least. Keep making good picks and you’ll end up on the right side in the end.

Wednesday’s NCAA Basketball Picks: Penn St./Ohio State UNDER 127 (We’re projecting around 121 points here), Illinois Chicago/Wright St. OVER 115.5 (We’re expecting 122-123), Seton Hall -7 (we forecast a 14 point win) and our Best Bet of the day Boise State +9.5 (we expect them to lose by less than 4 points). – 1/25

Tuesday Recap: (2-2) Marquette (-10.5) won big as expected
covering the spread comfortably (won by 20) with an extra 9.5 points to
spare. The Kentucky/Georgia UNDER (129) was easy pickins’ and paid off with
an extra 28 points to spare! On the negative side, our Ten/Vandy OVER 129, which was a really solid play, ended up getting smoked with Tennessee looking like absolute CRAP only scoring 47 points. Vandy stifled them on defense
and the Vols had absolutely ZERO flow to their offense. The total score
was 112, which means we missed our mark by a whopping 17 points. We’d make
this pick 100x over given the same chance. Lastly, Oklahoma (+5.5) missed the mark as the Sooners lost by 12. – 1/24

Tuesday College Hoops Plays: Tennessee/Vandy OVER 129 (we feel that this total may be off up to 13 points!), Kentucky/Georgia UNDER 129 (this line has already dropped 2 points down from 131 but we feel that it’s still got a good 4 points of value left), Oklahoma +5.5 (this line SHOULD be closer to a pick’em) and Marquette -10.5 (off by as many as 6.5 points). – 1/24

Monday’s College Basketball Predictions: Kansas -18, The Citadel/Georgia Southern OVER 134.5 and Hofstra/Virginia Commonwealth UNDER 133.5. The Jayhawks are our strongest play as we believe that the point spread may be off by as many as 10 points. – 1/23

Sunday’s Best Bet: Northwestern +5.5. – 1/22

Saturday’s Predictions: Dayton Flyers +1.5. – 1/21

Friday: Wisconsin-Milwaukee/Youngstown St. UNDER 126. – 1/20

Thursday NCAAB Picks: William and Mary/Virginia Commonwealth UNDER 127.5, Virginia Commonwealth -20, Loyola Chicago +4.5, Troy +4.5, Penn St. +3, Virginia Tech +7.5, Long Beach St/Cal Poly SLO OVER 122, Eastern Kentucky -11, Fairfield/St. Peters UNDER 122.5, SIU Edwardsville +9.5, Niagra/Canisius UNDER 145, Weber St. -17, South Dakota +1.5, Western Illinois/UMKC OVER 119.5. – 1/19

Wednesday NCAA Hoops Action: Temple/LaSalle OVER 145.5, Indiana -4.5, Toledo -8.5 and our Best Bet of the day Delaware +12.5. – 1/18

Tuesday College Basketball Plays: Georgetown/DePaul OVER 147.5, Arkansas/LSU OVER 119, LSU -8 and Florida St. -11. – 1/17

Monday: Missouri -15.5. – 1/16

Saturday/Sunday: Our college basketball predictions have been absolutely horrid. We’re taking the weekend off. Back Monday with more plays.

Friday College Baskets: Seton Hall -2.5, Indiana St Pickem, Fairfield -5.5. – 1/13

Thursday NCAA Basketball Value Plays: Georgia State -12.5, UL Lafayette -7.5, Wisconsin Green Bay -1, Indiana -10, Duke -11, UC Riverside +7.5, Stanford -23, San Francisco -9, Colorado +12, The Citadel +4, Western Carolina +14.5, Manhattan +14, Northern Arizona +7, Sacramento St. +5. – 1/12

Wednesday’s Predictions: Eastern Michigan +1, UMass -4.5, UTEP +6.5, Texas -12, Georgia Tech +10. – 1/11

Tuesday NCAAB: Northern Iowa +6.5. – 1/10

Monday NCAA Hoops: Idaho St. +16.5. – 1/9

Sunday: Our college basketball picks have stunk lately. We’re taking Sunday off to regroup. – 1/8

Saturday NCAAB Selections: Syracuse -11, Florida Atlantic -2, UC Davis +2.5. – 1/7

Friday: Short card, no value. Passing! – 1/6

Thursday College Hoops: We’re passing today. – 1/5

Wednesday CBB Plays: William & Mary +4.5, Indiana St +5.5, Tulsa -2, Georgia St. +7.5. – 1/4

Monday/Tuesday: PASSING! – 1/2 and 1/3

Sunday: PASSING! – 1/1