Penn State vs. Indiana Betting Preview and Pick

by | Last updated Mar 11, 2023 | cbb

Penn State (21-12 SU 19-14 ATS) vs. Indiana (22-10 SU 16-15 ATS)
When: Saturday, March 11th: 3:30 ET
Where: United Center Chicago, IL
TV: CBS
Point Spread: PSU +3/Ind -3
Total: 140.0
Money Line: Penn State Nittany Lions +131/Indiana Hoosiers -160

The Penn State Nittany Lions (21-12 SU, 19-14 ATS) will tip-off against the Indiana Hoosiers (22-10 SU, 16-15 ATS) at the United Center in Chicago, IL at 3:30 PM ET. CBS will broadcast the game, with Penn State coming in as a 3-point underdog and the total line set at 140 points. The money line odds are Penn State Nittany Lions +131 and Indiana Hoosiers -160.

Line Movement

The Hoosiers hit the board as -2.5 favorites and were bet up to -3. The total line hasn’t seen any movement, with most sportsbooks holding the line at their 140/140.5 opener.

Last Game Info

Penn State will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated Northwestern by a score of 67-65. The Nittany Lions also picked up an ATS victory as they were +1.5 point underdogs. The combined 132 points finished above the 130-total line.

Indiana picked up a victory over Maryland by a score of 70-60. Heading into the game, the Hoosiers were favored to win, with a point spread of -2. The combined 130 points did not surpass the 134.5 total line.

Current Form

Penn State
Over their last five games, Penn State has a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 3-2 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Nittany Lions offense averages 67.0 points per game while hitting 45.3% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 39.3% from the field while allowing 65.8 points per contest.

Indiana
In their previous five contests, Indiana is 3-2 straight-up and 2-3 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 71.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 48.0%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 42.2% of their shots while giving up 74.8 points per game.

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Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Penn State’s opponents comes in at 83.8. On the other side, Indiana’s combined opponent power rating sits at 84.4.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Penn State is averaging 64.6 points per game (391st) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 43.2%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against an Indiana defense that has allowed an average of 68.2 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 40.9% of their shots vs. Indiana. On the other side, the Indiana Hoosiers are coming into the game averaging 71.5 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.9%. The Hoosiers will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 68.3 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 43.3% of their shots vs. the Nittany Lions.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Penn State has a shooting percentage of 34.2% while ranking 268th in attempts per game. The Nittany Lions will be facing an Indiana defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 33.0%. Indiana enters the game having hit 33.9% of their looks from deep while averaging 6.12 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Penn State has allowed opponents to hit 33.9% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Penn State

  • Caleb Dorsey (Out) Undisclosed

Indiana

  • Xavier Johnson (Out) Foot
  • Anthony Leal (Questionable) Ankle
  • Logan Duncomb (Out) Illness

Free Betting Line Pick

The Nittany Lions had everything go right for them in the earlier matchup putting up 85 points on 54% from the field and a ridiculous 58% from 3-point land, sinking 18 of 31. That’s not going to happen today. The Hoosiers play decent 3PT defense and are ranked 84th in defensive efficiency, and I expect the defense to be their main focus today. Penn State comes in off two huge battles, and sure, they could have one more left in them, but I think we see a score similar to yesterday’s Ohio State/Michigan State game. Take the Under 140.5

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