Penn Quakers vs. Brown Bears Prediction ATS | Feb 2/24

Penn Quakers (9-10 SU, 7-10 ATS) vs. Brown Bears (5-14 SU, 8-10 ATS)

When: Friday, February 2nd, 7:00 PM (ET)

Where: Pizzitola Sports Center, RI, Providence

TV: ESPN+

Point Spread: PENN +2.5/BROWN -2.5

Total: 142

Money Line: Penn Quakers +117/-145

Notable Injuries

Quakers

• Clark Slajchert (Out) Ankle

Bears

Recent Form

After losing to Columbia by a score of 84-81, Penn is now 9-10 this season. In Ivy League play, the Quakers have gone just 1-3, and they are 1-7 on the road compared to 6-3 at home.

So far, Penn has been an underdog in six of its 19 games, and the team has gone just 1-5 in those contests. On average, the Quakers have been outscored by 10.9 points per game on the road.

On the season, the over/under record for Penn is 9-8, and today’s line of 142 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (144.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 4-5.

As the underdog, Penn has struggled against the spread this season, going just 2-4. On the road, the Quakers are 2-6 vs. the spread and have gone just 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread. Overall, Penn is 7-10 vs. the spread this year.

While Brown has struggled at home this season, they are favored by 2.5 points against Penn. The Bears are 1-5 at home this season and have lost three straight at home. Overall, they have lost two straight and are 5-14 on the season.

So far, Brown has been the favorite in six games and has gone 2-4 in those contests. In their most recent game, they lost to Dartmouth by a score of 75-71.

On the season, the over/under record for Brown games is 11-7 and today’s line of 142 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this season (141.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points and the over/under record for their last three games is 3-0.

When looking at Brown’s ATS record this season, they are currently 8-10. At home, they have gone just 2-4 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bears have gone just 4-5-1 ATS.

Analysis

In their recent game, the Quakers’ offense concluded with 81 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 76 points per contest. The Penn offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 25.9 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 38% of their looks from outside this season.

The Quakers’ defense is presently ranked 197th nationally, allowing an average of 72.7 points per contest. Penn’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Columbia offense to knock down 55% of their shots on their way to putting up 84 points.

In their recent game, the Bears’ offense concluded with 71 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 70.5 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring is Kino Lilly Jr., who is averaging 19 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Nana Owusu-Anane also maintains a PPG average of 14.9 heading into game.

Coming into today’s game, the Brown defense is giving up an average of 72.6 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Brown’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.4% this season.

Betting Trends

• In their last five games away from home, the Quakers have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 65 points per game in this stretch.
• Through their last five home games, Brown has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 66 points per game.
• As the betting underdog, the Quakers have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Penn posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
• Going back to their previous three games as the favorite, Brown has an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 1-2 straight up.

Crew’s Point Spread Pick

The Quakers have lost three straight and four of their last five since losing arguably their best player Guard Clark Slajchert on Dec 30. The Bears have struggled to get wins this season, but they have played a lot of close games with four of their last five losses being by a combined 10 points. I’m willing to take a shot on the home team. Take Brown -1.5