Oregon vs. Ohio State ATS Pick | Free CBB Predictions 1/9/24

Oregon Ducks (13-2 SU, 8-7 ATS) vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (10-5 SU, 9-6 ATS)

When: Thursday, January 9th, 6:00 PM (ET)

Where: Value City Arena, OH, Columbus

TV: BTN

Point Spread: ORE +2.5/OHIOST -2.5

Total: 150.5

Money Line: Oregon Ducks +126/-153

Notable Injuries

Ducks

• Andre Warren (Questionable) Undisclosed
• Dezdrick Lindsay (Out) Shoulder

Buckeyes

• Meechie Johnson Jr. (Out) Personal
• Taison Chatman (Out) Knee

Recent Form

Oregon improved to 13-2 on the season with an 83-79 win over Maryland on Sunday. The Ducks were -4.5 favorites at home but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game hit 162, surpassing the O/U line of 150.5.

Oregon trailed 45-42 at halftime but tightened up defensively in the 2nd half, allowing just 34 points while scoring 41 of their own to secure the win.

Ohio State improved to 10-5 on the season with an 89-88 win over Minnesota on Monday. The Buckeyes were -5 favorites going into the game but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 177, surpassing the O/U line of 138.5.

After trailing 28-27 at halftime, Ohio State outscored Minnesota 37-36 in the second half to secure the win.

Analysis

Oregon’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their latest game, putting up 83 points while shooting 51.8% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 62.5%, thanks in part to hitting 42.9% from beyond the arc, connecting on 12 of 28 attempts. At the free-throw line, they were nearly automatic, making 13 of 15 shots for an 86.7% success rate.

Jackson Shelstad was perfect from deep, hitting all 5 of his three-point attempts and finishing with 23 points on 8 of 10 shooting overall. Rodney Rice added 19 points, going 3 of 5 from three-point range, while Keeshawn Barthelemy contributed 14 points and five assists, shooting 50% from beyond the arc.

Oregon’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 79 points on 51% shooting. The Ducks allowed 60% shooting from two-point range, with their opponents hitting 17 of 28 shots.

From beyond the arc, Oregon’s opponents shot 42%, making 12 of 28 three-point attempts. They also sent them to the line 15 times, where they converted 13 free throws, an 86% success rate.

Ohio State put up 89 points in their last game, shooting 42.9% from the field and 27.3% from three-point range. Their effective field goal percentage was 47.6%, and they hit 87.9% of their free throws, going 29-for-33 from the line.

Parker Fox led the Buckeyes with 21 points on 8-of-12 shooting, while Lu’Cye Patterson added 20 points and four assists, hitting 3-of-7 from beyond the arc. Isaac Asuma also contributed 18 points, shooting 7-of-11 overall and 3-of-4 from three-point range.

Ohio State’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 88 points on 45% shooting from the field. The Buckeyes allowed their opponent to connect on 48% of their two-point attempts, going 20/41 inside the arc.

From three-point range, Ohio State’s defense gave up 12 threes on 29 attempts, a 41% shooting performance. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 27 times, where they hit 12 free throws. The Buckeyes allowed 16 offensive rebounds.

Betting Trends

• In their last ten games away from home, the Ducks have a straight-up record of 9-1 while going 8-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 76 points per game in this stretch.
• Through their last ten home contests, the Buckeyes offense has averaged 72 points per game while allowing an average of 74. Ohio State posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 6-4 ATS.
• The last ten games that Oregon was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 5-5 straight up.
• Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Buckeyes have an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 against the spread.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

Oregon rebounded after their blowout loss to Illinois by taking down Maryland on Sunday. However, they needed a big 2nd half to pick up the win, as they trailed at the half. As for Ohio State, they struggled against a weak Minnesota squad on Monday, squeaking out a 1-point win. Despite the lengthy trip from Eugene to Columbus, I like Oregon to win this one outright. I’m taking the Ducks at +126.