Oregon Ducks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Point Spread Pick

Oregon Ducks (23-11 SU, 17-17 ATS) vs. South Carolina Gamecocks (26-7 SU, 23-11 ATS)

When: Thursday, March 21st, 4:00 PM (ET)

Where: PPG Paints Arena, PA, Pittsburgh

TV: TNT

Point Spread: ORE +1/SC -1

Total: 132.5

Money Line: Oregon Ducks -104/-118

Notable Injuries

Ducks

• Jesse Zarzuela (Out) Ankle
• Keeshawn Barthelemy (Out) Leg
• Nate Bittle (Out) Illness
• Mookie Cook (Out) Foot

Gamecocks

• Myles Stute (Probable) Hip
• Arden Conyers (Out) Redshirt
• Austin Herro (Out) Redshirt

Recent Form

After finishing the regular season with a 23-11 record, Oregon heads into the NCAA Tournament having won five straight games. The Ducks’ record as an underdog this season is 6-5, and they have gone 9-6 on the road.

Recently, Oregon has gone 5-5 in its last 10 road games, including a 3-2 mark over the last five. In the team’s most recent game, the Ducks defeated Colorado, 75-68.

On the season, the over/under record for Oregon games is 18-15-1, with an average scoring total of 145.9 points. Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average OU line in Ducks’ games this year (146.3). So far, 25 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, with an average scoring total of 134 points.

As the underdog this season, Oregon has gone 8-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Ducks have an impressive 7-3 ATS mark. On the road, Oregon has gone 8-7 ATS this season, and they are 5-5 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games.

South Carolina enters today’s game against Oregon as 1-point favorites. The Gamecocks have been favored in 17 of their 33 games this season, going 15-2 in those contests. At home, South Carolina is 17-3 this season, and over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 7-3.

Overall, South Carolina is 26-7 this season, and they have gone 14-7 in Southeastern Conference play. They have lost two games in a row, and in their last game, they fell to Auburn by a score of 86-55.

This season, the over/under record for South Carolina games is 16-18 and today’s line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (139.9). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with those matchups having an average scoring total of 156 points.

South Carolina’s ATS record this season is 23-11, including a mark of 13-7 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gamecocks have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

Analysis

Coming off their recent game, the Oregon offense tallied 75 points in a matchup against Colorado. Their field goal percentage for the game was 45.9%, and they made 2 threes. Jermaine Couisnard is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 15.4. Meanwhile, Jackson Shelstad also brings a PPG average of 13.1 into the game.

On the defensive side, Oregon is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 71.5 points per game. So far, the Oregon defense is giving up an average of 8.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.6 times per game (400th).

Against Auburn, South Carolina had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 72 points per game. They scored 55 points and posted a field goal percentage of 28.1% in the game. Leading the team in scoring is B.J. Mack, who is averaging 13.6 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Meechie Johnson Jr. also maintains a PPG average of 13.8 heading into game.

Coming into today’s game, the South Carolina defense is giving up an average of 67.5 points per contest. The South Carolina defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 86 points and allowed Auburn to connect on 9 threes.

Betting Trends

• Although Oregon has a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 71 points per game in these games.
• Across their last three home contests, South Carolina has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 72 points per game.
• In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Ducks have a strong straight-up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
• South Carolina has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.

Rich Crew’s Pick To Cover The Spread

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