Oklahoma State Cowboys (16-13 SU 13-14 ATS) at Iowa State Cyclones (13-15 SU 10-15-1 ATS )
PAC 12
Date/Time: Tuesday, February 27, 2018, at 7:00 PM ET
Where: Hilton Coliseum
TV: ESPNU
by Rich Crew, Expert NCAA Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: OKS -1 / ISU +1
Over/Under Total: 152.5
In Tuesday Big 12 betting action we have Oklahoma State traveling to Ames, Iowa to take on the Iowa State Cyclones. The oddsmaker has opened this game with the Ok. State as a small -1 road chalk with the total line at 152.5.
The way this season has gone for the Cowboys, the current three wins in their last seven games represents an improvement in play for the team. They played the top five teams in that stretch beating Texas Tech at home and West Virginia and Kansas on the road. On the season theyre 6-10 straight up in conference games going 7-9 versus the betting line.
Iowa State enters this game on a dismal 1-6 W/L run and is amid a four-game losing streak. At home, they have been competitive in recent matches going 2-2 with the two defeats coming by six to TCU and six to Kansas. Overall, theyve compiled a disappointing 4-14 record in the Big 12, but a .500 record at home going 4-4 SU and 5-3 against the spread.
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This match will be their second meeting of the campaign, with the first one resulting in a 96 to 87 overtime home win for the Cowboys. The extending of the margin in the OT period gave Oklahoma State the point spread cover and the extra 25 points weren’t needed as the scoring crossed over the total line in regulation.
Based on seasonal metrics, Oklahoma State is the better scoring club averaging 76.6 points per game overall and 75.2 in Big 12 games versus Iowa States 73.7 PPG and 74.19. Scoring defense favors the Cowboys with 73.6 allowed per game to 75.4 for the Cyclones and Ill call the conference numbers even.
If both teams were healthy, Id probably back the Cowboys based on their impressive road wins over West Virginia and Kansas, but we have an even better situation. The Cyclones played tough for 40 minutes on the road in Stillwater before fading in overtime, but this time around they’ll have to play without Forward Donovan Jackson who led the team with 30 points. Also missing will be Guard Nick Weiler-Babb and Forward Solomon Young who each added 12 points. For those not doing the math, that’s 54 points removed from the starting five.
Rich Crew’s Pick: Take Oklahoma State -1 at a sportsbook that has -105 lines- Save money on every bet at 5Dimes!