Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks Pick ATS for March 8

Ohio Bobcats (18-12 SU, 15-14 ATS) vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks (15-15 SU, 16-12 ATS)

When: Friday, March 8th, 7:00 PM (ET)

Where: Millett Hall, OH, Oxford

TV: ESPN+

Point Spread: OHIO -2.5/MIAOH +2.5

Total: 144

Money Line: Ohio Bobcats -145/+120

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Notable Injuries

Bobcats

RedHawks

Recent Form

Ohio is 18-12 this season and has won five straight games. They are 12-5 in Mid-American Conference play compared to 6-7 in non-conference games. The Bobcats are favored today, which has been the case in 24 of their 30 games this year. They are 16-8 when favored.

On the road, Ohio is 4-7 this season, and they have gone 2-1 in their last three road games. Their average scoring margin on the road is +0.5, and they have won their last two road games.

The over/under record for Ohio games this season is 13-16, and today’s line of 144 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (149.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 136 points, and their last three OU record is 0-3.

When looking at Ohio’s ATS record this season, they are currently 15-14. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-6. Over their last three road games, the Bobcats have gone 3-0 vs. the spread. As the favorite, Ohio has an ATS record of 13-11 this season, and they have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in their last three games as the favorite.

With a record of 15-15, Miami (OH) has been a better team at home, going 7-5 compared to 6-10 on the road. As the underdog, the RedHawks have gone 7-10, and they are currently on a two-game road win streak.

During their last game, Miami (OH) lost to Toledo by a score of 97-63. Over their last 10 games at home, the RedHawks have gone 6-4, and they are 3-2 in their last five.

Miami (OH)’s over/under record for the season is 12-15-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 139.9 points. Today’s over/under line of 144 is higher than the average OU line in their games (143.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 124 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 2-8.

As the underdog, Miami (OH) has gone 10-7 vs. the spread this season. Their overall ATS mark is 16-12. At home, the RedHawks are 7-5 vs. the spread this year and have gone 5-4 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Analysis

The Ohio offense is coming off a game in which they scored 78 points vs. Buffalo. Overall their field goal percentage was 47.4% while connecting on 14 threes. The top scorer for the Bobcats was AJ Clayton with 23 points, while Shereef Mitchell also chipped in with 23 points.

The Bobcats’ defense is presently ranked 141st nationally, allowing an average of 71.0 points per contest. Ohio’s three-point defense is currently 117th in the country at 6.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.3% of their shots vs. Ohio.

In their most recent game, the Miami (OH) offense put up just 63 points vs. the Toledo Rockets. Overall, they are now averaging 71.2 points per game, which is 285th in the country. Eian Elmer was the leading scorer for the RedHawks, putting up 18 points. In addition, Mekhi Cooper contributed 8 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Miami (OH) defense is giving up an average of 69.8 points per contest. Miami (OH) will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Toledo to just 31% shooting in their most recent game.

Betting Trends

• Ohio has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 80 points per game while allowing 70. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
• Although Miami (OH) has a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 6-4. The team averaged 66 points per game in these games.
• The last ten games that Miami (OH) was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 5-5 straight up.
• Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Ohio has an ATS mark of 9-1 while going 10-0 straight up.

Rich Crew’s Pick To Cover The Spread

The Bobcats are the class here and the line is not overly inflated, but with nothing on the line do they go all out or rest up for the tourney? I’m banking on the former. This is a square play, but I’m biting. Take the Ohio Bobcats -2.5.