Notre Dame vs. Texas Tech Betting Analysis

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (24-10 SU, 19-15-0 ATS) vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (26-9 SU, 22-13-0 ATS)
When: Sunday March 20 2022, 7:10 PM PM (ET)
Where: Viejas Arena

Point Spread: Notre Dame +8/Texas Tech -8 (Everygame)
Total: 132.5
Money Line: Fighting Irish +269/Texas Tech -343

Key Injuries

Notre Dame Robby Carmody: Knee (OUT) Elijah Taylor: Academics (OUT)

Texas Tech Clarence Nadolny: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE) Ethan Duncan: Undisclosed (OUT)

Recent Form

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish come into this matchup with an overall record of 24-10. On the season, the Fighting Irish have performed well in their 13 non-conference games, posting a record of 9-4. Even though Notre Dame have played well in non-conference action, they still have a below .500 record at neutral sites. So far, the Fighting Irish are 3-4 in these games. Heading into this matchup, the Fighting Irish are looking to stay hot, as they try to add on to their current 2 game win streak.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders get set to host the Fighting Irish with an overall record of 26-9. On the season, the Red Raiders have performed well in their 14 non-conference games, posting a record of 12-2. In addition to their strong non-conference record, Texas Tech have a good record at neutral sites. Through 7 games, the Red Raiders is 5-2. Over their last 5 games, they have played above .500 basketball, holding a record of 3-2.

For the season, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are averaging 72.6 points per game, good for a rank of 106th in the NCAA. Defensively, the Fighting Irish are the 114th rated scoring defense at 67.5 points per game. On the other side, the Texas Tech Red Raiders are the 110th ranked scoring offense, while giving up an average of 60.4 points

Efficiency Outlook

Notre Dame comes into this matchup as the more efficient scoring team. In these games, the Fighting Irish have a record of 19-5 on an average scoring margin of 8.0. Even though Texas Tech trails Notre Dame on the offensive end of the court, they enter this game holding the edge on defense. So far, the Red Raiders are 26-9 with an edge in defensive efficiency. In these games, they hold an average scoring margin of 12.0.

The Fighting Irish come into this game with 37.2% of their overall scoring coming from made three-point shots. This figure places them above the NCAA average. Compared to Notre Dame, three-point shooting is not a key part of their gameplan as just 25.4% of their scoring comes from outside.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

• Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Fighting Irish are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Red Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
• Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Texas Tech is a sizable favorite because their defense is much better. After watching both teams play, I feel like N.D. is playing over their heads and Tech isn’t playing as good as they can. I hate to do this, but I gotta call it like I see it… There’s ZERO betting value in this game. It wouldn’t surprise me if the final score is right on the spread. I’m passing!