Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers Total Pick

Minnesota Golden Gophers (17-9 SU, 21-4-1 ATS) vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers (19-8 SU, 17-9-1 ATS)

When: Sunday, February 25th, 6:30 PM (ET)

Where: Pinnacle Bank Arena, NE, Lincoln

TV: BTN

Point Spread: Min +6.5/Neb -6.5 (Lay only -105 every day at BAS Sportsbook!)

Total: 147

Money Line: Minn +233/Nebr -295

Notable Injuries

Golden Gophers

Cornhuskers

• Jarron Coleman (Out) Undisclosed
• Ahron Ulis (Out) Suspension
• Ramel Lloyd Jr. (Out) Knee
• Blaise Keita (Out) Ankle
• Eli Rice (Out) Ankle
• Matar Diop (Questionable) Undisclosed

Recent Form

Minnesota enters this game with a 17-9 record, including a 8-7 mark in Big Ten action. They have won two straight games, including an 88-79 victory over Ohio State in their last game. On the road this season, the Golden Gophers are 2-6, and they are currently on a two-game losing streak away from home.

For the year, Minnesota is 5-8 as the underdog, and they are getting 6.5 points in this game. In their last 10 road games, the Golden Gophers are just 3-7, and they are 1-4 in their last five games away from home. So far this season, they have been the underdog in 13 of their 26 games.

This season, the over/under record for Minnesota games is 15-11 and today’s line of 147 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (143.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 158 points and their OU record during this stretch is 3-0. So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

Minnesota has been a great team to bet on this season, as they have an impressive ATS record of 21-4-1. Their road ATS record is also solid at 6-2. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Golden Gophers have an ATS mark of 9-1. In their last 3 games on the road, Minnesota is 3-0 vs. the spread.

Nebraska has been dominant at home this season, going 16-1 and winning their last ten games at home. They have been favored in 16 of their 27 games, going 15-1 in those games. The Cornhuskers come into this game with a 19-8 record, including a 9-7 mark in Big Ten play.

Most recently, Nebraska defeated Indiana by a score of 85-70. Over their last five games, they have gone 5-0 and they have won three straight games. So far, their average scoring margin at home is +13.6 points per game compared to -3.5 on the road.

The over/under record for Nebraska this season is 18-9 and today’s line of 147 is right in line with the average over/under line in their games (147.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 136 points and their over/under record during their last 10 games is 7-3.

As the favorite this season, Nebraska has an ATS record of 12-3-1. At home, their ATS mark is 13-3-1, and over their last three home games, they are 3-0 vs. the spread. Overall, the Cornhuskers have an ATS record of 17-9-1 this year.

Analysis

Minnesota’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Ohio State, finishing the game with a total of 88 points. Their season average is now 76.7 points per game. One area in which the Minnesota offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 102nd in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 47%.

Currently, the Golden Gophers’ defense holds the 112th rank in the nation, allowing 69.7 points per game. Minnesota’s three-point defense is currently 53rd in the country at 5.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.1% of their shots vs. Minnesota.

Nebraska finished with 85 points in their game against Indiana. This total surpasses their season-average of 77.3 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Keisei Tominaga, who is averaging 14.4 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Brice Williams also maintains a PPG average of 12.8 heading into game.

Coming into today’s game, the Nebraska defense is giving up an average of 70.0 points per contest. The Nebraska defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 70 points and allowed Indiana to connect on 4 threes.

Betting Trends

• In their last three road games, Minnesota has averaged 81 points per game while allowing 82. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 3-0.
• Through their last ten home contests, the Cornhuskers offense has averaged 72 points per game while allowing an average of 76. Nebraska posted an overall record of 3-7 while going 4-6 ATS.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Golden Gophers have a straight up record of 5-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 9-1.
• In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Cornhuskers have a straight up record of 9-1 and an ATS mark of 7-3.

Rich Crew’s Pick To Cover The Spread

Both teams can put the ball through the hoop and Minnesota should have some success shooting the three. My only concern is the free through line. If both teams can be in the 70s% I think we can get this to game to 150 or higher. Take the Over 147. 

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