Michigan vs. Wisconsin: Betting Odds & Point Spread Insights

Michigan Wolverines (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS) vs. Wisconsin Badgers (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS)

When: Tuesday, December 3rd, 9:00 PM (ET)

Where: Kohl Center, WI, Madison

TV: PEAC

Point Spread: MICH +2.5/WISC -2.5

Total: 150.5

Money Line: Michigan Wolverines +126/-157

Notable Injuries

Wolverines

Badgers

• Camren Hunter (Questionable) Undisclosed

Recent Form

Michigan improved to 6-1 on the season with a convincing 78-53 road win over Xavier on Wednesday. The Wolverines entered the game as -1.5 favorites and covered the spread, while the total points of 131 fell well short of the O/U line of 153.5.

Michigan led 41-30 at halftime and clamped down defensively in the 2nd half, holding Xavier to just 23 points while scoring 37 of their own.

The Badgers improved to 8-0 with a 74-53 win over Chicago State on Saturday. Playing at home, Wisconsin was a heavy favorite, entering the game as -33.5 point favorites.

Wisconsin led 32-25 at halftime and pulled away in the 2nd half, outscoring the Cougars 42-28. Despite the win, they didn’t cover the spread, and the game’s total points of 127 fell short of the 148.5 O/U line.

Analysis

Michigan’s offense put up 78 points in their latest game, shooting 49.2% from the field. They connected on 50% of their three-point attempts, hitting 11 of 22, and their effective field goal percentage was 59%.

Danny Wolf led the way with 20 points and 14 rebounds, shooting 66.7% overall and 80% from three-point range (4/5). Ryan Conwell added 19 points, hitting 5 of 9 from beyond the arc, while Vladislav Goldin contributed 18 points on 7 of 9 shooting, making his only three-point attempt.

Michigan’s defense was on point, holding their opponent to just 53 points on 33% shooting from the field. They limited two-point opportunities, with the other team making only 12 of 35 attempts, a 34% success rate.

From beyond the arc, Michigan allowed 8 threes on 24 attempts, with their opponent shooting 33% from deep. They also sent them to the line 9 times, where they converted 5 free throws, shooting 55%.

Wisconsin’s offense put up 74 points in their last game, shooting 39% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 47.5%. They connected on 10 of 30 three-point attempts, hitting 33.3% from deep, while going 13 of 29 (44.8%) on two-point shots. At the free-throw line, the Badgers were efficient, knocking down 18 of 21 attempts for 85.7%.

John Tonje led the way with 22 points, hitting 3 of 6 from beyond the arc and adding 5 rebounds and 3 assists. Nolan Winter was perfect from the field, going 4 for 4, including 1 for 1 from three-point range, finishing with 12 points and 6 rebounds in 20 minutes of action. The Badgers also dished out 17 assists and grabbed 11 offensive rebounds.

Wisconsin’s defense held their opponent to just 53 points, allowing them to shoot 39% from the field on 23 of 59 attempts. Inside the arc, the Badgers gave up 13 two-point baskets on 29 attempts, a 44% shooting rate.

From three-point range, Wisconsin’s defense allowed 10 made threes on 30 attempts, with their opponent shooting 33% from deep. The Badgers also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 21 times, where they made 18, shooting 85%. Wisconsin gave up 11 offensive rebounds in the game.

Betting Trends

• Michigan has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 74 points per game while allowing 62. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
• When looking at their past ten home matchups, Wisconsin has an ATS record of 3-7 while averaging 71 per game. The team went 3-7 overall in these games.
• Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Wolverines have a straight up record of 0-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-4.
• Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Badgers have an overall record of 5-0 while going 2-3 against the spread.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

This is a big one early on in the Big 10, as the Badgers are off to a surprising undefeated start, and despite not being ranked, the Wolverines are off to a 6-1 start this season. Having watched a lot of Wisconsin’s early season games, this is a more well-rounded offensive unit than in years past. John Tonje has been excellent for the Badgers this season, but there are more role players willing and able to knock down some open shots. I like the Badgers at -2.5 tonight.