Michigan vs. Michigan State Betting Preview: Free Pick 3-9-25

Michigan Wolverines (22-8 SU, 13-17 ATS) vs. Michigan State Spartans (25-5 SU, 21-9 ATS)

When: Sunday, March 9th, 12:00 PM (ET)

Where: Breslin Center, MI, East Lansing

TV: CBS

Point Spread: MICH +6.5/MST -6.5

Total: 145.5

Money Line: Michigan Wolverines +240/-298

Notable Injuries

Wolverines

• Sam Walters (Questionable) Back

Spartans

• Brennan Walton (Out) Redshirt
• Colin Walton (Out) Redshirt

Recent Form

Michigan Wolverines Recent Game/Games

Michigan fell to 22-8 on the season after a 71-65 home loss to Maryland on Wednesday. The Wolverines, who were -1.5 favorites going into the game, didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 136, which was under the O/U line of 155.5.

After trailing 33-22 at halftime, Michigan put up 43 points in the 2nd half but couldn’t overcome Maryland, who scored 38 points in the final period.

Michigan State Spartans Recent Game/Games

Michigan State improved to 25-5 on the season with a 91-84 win over Iowa on Thursday. The Spartans, who were -6.5 favorites, covered the spread in the victory.

After trailing 37-30 at halftime, Michigan State erupted for 61 points in the 2nd half while allowing 47. The game’s total points of 175 sailed over the closing line of 155.5.

Analysis

In their last game, Michigan put up 65 points, shooting 43.5% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 48.4%. They connected on 35% of their threes, hitting 7 of 20 attempts, and were 4 of 7 from the free-throw line, shooting 57.1%.

Offensively, they grabbed nine rebounds and dished out 16 assists. Danny Wolf led the way, shooting 69.2% overall and 66.7% from three, finishing with 20 points, eight rebounds, and four assists.

Michigan’s defense gave up 71 points in their last game, with their opponents shooting 43% from the field on 27 of 62 attempts. Inside the arc, the Wolverines allowed 47% shooting, as the other team went 20 for 42 on two-point shots.

From three-point range, Michigan’s defense conceded seven made threes on 20 attempts, a 35% shooting performance. They also sent their opponents to the free-throw line 7 times, where they made 4, shooting 57%. The Wolverines allowed nine offensive rebounds.

Michigan State’s offense put up 91 points in their last game, shooting 50.8% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 59%. They hit 64.7% of their two-point attempts while connecting on 33.3% from beyond the arc, making 9 of 27 threes. At the free-throw line, the Spartans shot 66.7%, hitting 20 of 30 attempts.

Jase Richardson led the way with 22 points, shooting 53.8% overall and 33.3% from three. Josh Dix added 18 points, hitting 3 of 5 from deep, while Seydou Traore, Payton Sandfort, Jaxon Kohler, and Jaden Akins each contributed 15 points. The Spartans dished out 15 assists and grabbed 10 offensive rebounds in the win.

Michigan State’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 84 points while allowing the opposition to shoot 47% from the field. The Spartans couldn’t contain the two-point attack, as their opponents hit 52% of their shots inside the arc, going 21/40.

From three-point range, Michigan State allowed nine threes on 23 attempts, a 39% shooting performance. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 18 times, where they converted 15 shots, an 83% clip. The Spartans gave up 10 offensive rebounds in the game.

Betting Trends

• Across their last three road contests, Michigan has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0 while averaging 68 points per game.
• Across their ten previous home games, Michigan State has an ATS mark of 8-2. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 74 points per game.
• In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Wolverines have a straight-up record of 3-7 and an ATS mark of 4-6.
• In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Spartans have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

Michigan has started to scuffle at a time when you want to be playing your best basketball. Even though Michigan State has nothing to play for in regards to their spot in the Big 10 tournament, this is a rivalry game, and they are still looking to add to their resume and improve their NCAA tournament seeding. I like the Spartans to win and cover.