Michigan vs Indiana: Betting Preview and Picks

Michigan (17-13 SU 15-14 ATS) vs. Indiana (20-10 SU 15-14 ATS)
When: Sunday, March 5th: 4:30 ET
Where: Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall Bloomington, IN
TV: CBS
Point Spread: UM +4.5/Ind -4.5
Total: 144.5
Money Line: Michigan Wolverines +151/Indiana Hoosiers -189

Michigan (17-13 SU 15-14 ATS) visits Indiana (20-10 SU 15-14 ATS) at the Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall in Bloomington, IN, on Sunday, March 5th. Tip-off is scheduled for 4:30 PM ET and will be broadcast on CBS.

The current point spread for the game is UM +4/Ind -4, with a total of 144.5. Bettors looking to get down on the money line, the board lists Michigan Wolverines +151/Indiana Hoosiers -189.

Line Movement

Last Game Info

Michigan lost to Illinois in their last game by a score of 91-87. But because the Wolverines were +5 point underdogs, they finished with an ATS win. The combined 178 points finished above the 144.5 total line.

Going into their last game, Indiana was the betting favorite at -5.5 but fell to Iowa by a score of 90-68. The combined 158 points finished above the 157.5 total line.

Current Form

Michigan
Over their last five games, Michigan has a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 4-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Wolverines’ offense averages 75.0 points per game while hitting 45.1% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 40.7% from the field while allowing 70.2 points per contest.

Indiana
In their previous five contests, Indiana is 2-3 straight-up and 1-4 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 69.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 46.9%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 42.8% of their shots while giving up 74.6 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Michigan’s opponents comes in at 84. Conversely, Indiana’s combined opponent power rating sits at 84.2.

How Does Michigan Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Wolverines have played 14 road games and have a record of 5-9. In these contests, Michigan is 7-7 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 71.7 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.6%. On defense, the Wolverines allow 72.0 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 44.7% in these games.

How Does Indiana Fare At Home?

In their 17 games at home, Indiana has an 11-6 record vs. the spread while going 14-3 straight-up. On offense, the Hoosiers are shooting 51.1% on their home floor, leading to 80.1 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 41.3% in these contests. The Indiana defense is allowing 66.3 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Michigan is averaging 73.0 points per game (142nd) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 46.8%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against an Indiana defense that has allowed an average of 68.3 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 41.2% of their shots vs. Indiana. On the other side, the Indiana Hoosiers are coming into the game averaging 71.5 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.9%. The Hoosiers will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 69.5 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 43.0% of their shots vs. the Wolverines.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Michigan has a shooting percentage of 34.0% while ranking 550th in attempts per game. The Wolverines will be facing an Indiana defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 32.9%. Indiana enters the game having hit 33.9% of their looks from deep while averaging 6.12 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Michigan has allowed opponents to hit 33.2% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Michigan

• Jaelin Llewellyn (Out) Knee
• Isaiah Barnes (Out) Undisclosed

Indiana

• Xavier Johnson (Out) Foot
• Anthony Leal (Questionable) Ankle
• Logan Duncomb (Out) Illness

Pick Against The Line

The Hoosiers were awful in their latest at home against the Hawkeyes, but they may have been a little full of themselves after a surprising 79-71 road win over the Boilermakers. Indiana played fantastic defense in that game against Purdue holding them to just 35% from the field. Before the Iowa debacle, Indiana held five of their last six opponents to 70 or fewer points at home, with only Purdue 74 surpassing that number. These two teams met on Feb 13th in a slow-paced game that saw just 123 points. Michigan has done a bang-up job on defense in recent road games holding NW to 37.5% shooting, Wisc to 33.3%, Rut to 38.3%, and Ill to 41.7%. The line is moving the other way, and that may be because, by tip-off, this game may not mean anything to the Wolverines, but I’m still going with the Under. Take the Under 144.5