Miami Hurricanes vs. Auburn Tigers Odds & Picks

Miami Hurricanes (24-10 SU, 19-15-0 ATS) vs. Auburn Tigers (28-5 SU, 20-12-1 ATS)
When: Sunday March 20 2022, 7:45 PM PM (ET)
Where: Bon Secours Wellness Arena

Point Spread: Miami +7.5/Auburn -7.5 (Everygame)
Total: 144.5
Money Line: Hurricanes +258/Auburn -334

Key Injuries

Miami Harlond Beverly: Back (OUT)

Auburn Jaylin Williams: Teeth (QUESTIONABLE)

Recent Form

The Miami Hurricanes come into this matchup with an overall record of 24-10. On the season, the Hurricanes have performed well in their 12 non-conference games, posting a record of 9-3. In addition to their strong non-conference record, Miami has played well on neutral courts. Through 7 games, the Hurricanes are 4-3. Over their last 5 games, they have played above .500 basketball, holding a record of 4-1.

The Auburn Tigers get set to host the Hurricanes with an overall record of 28-5. On the season, the Tigers have performed well in their 14 non-conference games, posting a record of 13-1. In addition to their strong non-conference record, Auburn has a good record at neutral sites. Through 6 games, the Tigers is 4-2. Over their last 5 games, they have played above .500 basketball, holding a record of 3-2.

For the season, the Miami Hurricanes are averaging 74.6 points per game, good for a rank of 58th in the NCAA. Defensively, the team gives up an average of 70.9 points per game. On the other side, the Auburn Tigers are the 14th ranked scoring offense, averaging 78.8 points per game, while giving up 66.8

Efficiency Outlook

Miami comes into this matchup as the more efficient scoring team. In these games, the Hurricanes have a record of 20-8 on an average scoring margin of 4.0. Even though Auburn trails Miami on the offensive end of the court, they enter this game holding the edge on defense. So far, the Tigers are 27-4 with an edge in defensive efficiency. In these games, they hold an average scoring margin of 12.0.

For the year, the Hurricanes are well below the NCAA average in percentage of points from made three-point shots, sitting at just 28.6%. On the other side, the Tigers have been a very balanced scoring unit, with 31.1% of their scoring coming from downtown.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

• Hurricanes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as an underdog.
• Hurricanes are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games.
• Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Hurricanes are SUPER gritty and have a shot to win this game straight up. Auburn is very talented, however, they’re tendency to be inefficient on offense makes them vulnerable to losing straight up. They’ve averaged 39% over their past five games and that won’t get it done vs. a very old/experienced Miami Hurricanes team! I’m placing a fat bet on Miami and saving 10% for the money line because I think they win this game and move on to the Sweet 16!