Kansas vs. Iowa State: Expert CBB Predictions & Spread Winner

Iowa State Cyclones (17-4 SU, 13-8 ATS) vs. Kansas Jayhawks (15-6 SU, 10-11 ATS)

When: Monday, February 3rd, 9:00 PM (ET)

Where: Allen Fieldhouse, KS, Lawrence

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: IOWAST +2.5/KAN -2.5

Total: 145.5

Money Line: Iowa State Cyclones +128/-157

Notable Injuries

Cyclones

• Conrad Hawley (Out) Shoulder
• Milan Momcilovic (Out) Hand

Jayhawks

• Zach Clemence (Out) Groin
• Noah Shelby (Out) Undisclosed
• Elmarko Jackson (Out) Knee
• Jamari McDowell (Out) Redshirt

Recent Form

Iowa State Cyclones Recent Game/Games

Iowa State fell to 17-4 on the season after an 80-61 home loss to Kansas State on Saturday, February 1st. The Cyclones, who were -14.5 point favorites, didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 141 fell just under the O/U line of 143.5.

After trailing 37-35 at halftime, Iowa State struggled in the 2nd half, scoring only 26 points while allowing 43.

Kansas Jayhawks Recent Game/Games

Kansas fell to 15-6 on the season after an 81-70 loss to Baylor on Saturday. The Jayhawks entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs and didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 151, surpassing the O/U line of 140.5.

Kansas looked strong early, leading 40-21 at halftime, but they struggled in the second half, scoring just 30 points while allowing Baylor to put up 60 points.

Analysis

Iowa State managed just 61 points in their last game, shooting 36.5% from the field and posting an effective field goal percentage of 44.2%. Their two-point shooting was a struggle, hitting only 32.4% (11/34), but they found some success from beyond the arc, connecting on 44.4% (8/18) of their three-point attempts. At the free-throw line, they shot 78.9% (15/19).

Offensively, the Cyclones recorded 11 offensive rebounds and 10 assists. Dug McDaniel and Tamin Lipsey each scored 20 points, with Lipsey hitting 60% of his threes (3/5). Coleman Hawkins was perfect from deep, going 3/3, and finished with 17 points and seven rebounds.

Despite holding their opponent to just 36% shooting from the field, Iowa State gave up 80 points in their previous game. The Cyclones limited two-point shooting to 32% (11/34), but their opponent found success from beyond the arc, hitting 44% of their threes (8/18).

At the free-throw line, Iowa State’s opponent shot 78%, making 15 of 19 attempts. The Cyclones also allowed 11 offensive rebounds in the game.

In their recent game, Kansas scored 70 points, shooting 45.6% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 50.9%. They hit 57.1% of their two-point attempts but struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 27.3% of their threes (6/22).

Robert O. Wright III led the way with 24 points and six assists, while Hunter Dickinson added 20 points. Dajuan Harris Jr. also contributed eight assists. The Jayhawks made 12 of 19 free throws (63.2%) and grabbed five offensive rebounds.

Even with Kansas giving up 81 points, their defense held the opposing team to 43% shooting overall, with 25 made field goals on 58 attempts. Inside the arc, Kansas allowed 19 two-point baskets on 38 attempts, a 50% conversion rate.

From three-point range, the opposing team shot 30%, hitting 6 of their 20 attempts. Kansas also sent them to the free-throw line 28 times, where they converted 25 for 89%. Kansas allowed 11 offensive rebounds in the game.

Betting Trends

• Across the Cyclones’ last three road games, the team averaged 69 points per game while allowing 70. Their record vs. the spread in these contests was 1-2 while going 1-2 straight-up.
• Through their last three home contests, the Jayhawks offense has averaged 67 points per game while allowing an average of 72. Kansas posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
• Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Iowa State has an ATS mark of 3-1-1 while going 2-3 straight up.
• Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Jayhawks have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

Iowa State may have overlooked Kansas State this weekend heading into tonight’s showdown with Kansas, as they lost on Saturday night and are starting to dig themselves a hole in the Big 12 standings, as Houston still only has one conference loss. Now, they are on the road vs Kansas and +2.5 point underdogs. Kansas is also coming off a loss, but I see them putting things together tonight vs Iowa State. I’m taking the Jayhawks to cover at -2.5.