Kansas State Wildcats vs. Texas Longhorns Pick | March 13/24

Kansas State Wildcats (18-13 SU, 16-15 ATS ) vs. Texas Longhorns (20-11, 12-18), 3/13/24
When: 7 pm ET Wednesday, March 13
Where: T-Mobile Center
TV: Big 12 Network
Spread: KSU +4.5/Tex -4.5
Over/under: 143

Texas is probably already on the NCAA tournament’s invite list but Kansas State needs help, heading into this Big 12 Conference tournament semifinal Wednesday night in Kansas City.

These teams just met a month ago; the Longhorns won but the Wildcats covered.

Which way are we going here with our free Kansas St/Texas pick?

Big 12 Tournament Betting Odds

Wednesday’s CBB betting market opened Texas at -4.5 over K State, with an over/under of right around 143. Both figures were holding steady in the early betting action.

Kansas State-Texas Betting Preview

The Wildcats just snapped a two-game losing skid by beating No. 8 Iowa State in the regular-season finale last Saturday 65-58. Kansas State, as a four-point home dog, led that game 28-24 at the half, then scored the first nine points of the second half and held on from there for the much-needed victory.

Back about a month ago the Wildcats lost three games in a row to BYU, TCU and this Longhorns outfit, good teams all. K State then beat Brigham Young and West Virginia, then lost back-to-back at Cincinnati and at Kansas, before Saturday’s win. So the Wildcats are 3-2 SU over their last five games and 6-3 ATS over their last nine.

At 18-13 overall Kansas State is on the outside looking in at the NCAA tournament right now. So the Wildcats probably need at least a couple wins in this Big 12 tournament to catch the NCAA’s attention.

Meanwhile Texas is 3-1 SU, 3-0-1 ATS over its last four games after concluding its regular season with a 94-80 victory over Oklahoma last Saturday. The Longhorns, favored at -5.5, led 40-35 at the half, then pulled away from there later leading by 21, for the W and the cover.

About three weeks ago Texas lost badly at Kansas. The ‘Horns then defeated Texas Tech and Oklahoma State, lost a tough one at Baylor, before winning Saturday.

At 20-11 overall Texas will probably receive an invite to the Big Dance regardless of what happens Wednesday night. But you know the Longhorns would like to win at least a couple games in this Big 12 tournament, just to be safe.

Texas played 9-9 SU, 8-9-1 ATS and +1 point per game in Big 12 action this season, Kansas State 8-10 SU, 10-8 ATS and -1 PPG.

Kansas State-Texas Recent History

The Longhorns own the upper hand in the series with the Wildcats as of late, winning seven of the last nine meetings outright. But Texas is only 4-5 ATS over that span, favored by a bit too much a bit too often. Most recently, one month ago, the ‘Horns beat K State 62-56 but came up just short ATS at -8.

Texas never trailed in that game although its biggest lead was only 11 points. In the end a meaningless Wildcats bucket with four seconds left decided the money.

Also, that game played under a total of 138 as the teams combined to shoot just 36 percent from the field.

College Basketball Betting Trends

Kansas State is 4-10 SU but 8-6 ATS away from home this season.

Totals Report

Totals are split 15-15 in Wildcats games this season, which are averaging 142 total points.

Overs are 19-12 in Longhorns games, which are averaging 146 points.

Free College Basketball Betting Pick

These teams are pretty close across the stat sheets but Texas shoots the ball better than Kansas State – 76 percent from the line is helpful – and takes better care of the ball. Also, a case could be made the Longhorns are playing the better ball as of late. Also, Texas out-played the Wildcats about a month ago. We like the Longhorns minus the points for Wednesday night.