Kansas State Wildcats vs. Texas Longhorns Pick ATS

Kansas State Wildcats (15-10 SU, 12-13 ATS) vs. Texas Longhorns (16-9 SU, 9-16 ATS)

When: Monday, February 19th, 9:00 PM (ET)

Where: Moody Center, TX, Austin

TV: ESPN2

Point Spread: KANST +8.5/TX -8.5

Total: 141

Money Line: Kansas State Wildcats +318/-415

Notable Injuries

Wildcats

• Ques Glover (Out) Knee

Longhorns

Recent Form

Despite losing their last two games, Kansas State’s record is still 15-10. They are 5-7 in Big 12 games and 10-3 in non-conference matchups. On the road, the Wildcats are 4-6, and they have lost their last five games away from home.

As the underdog, Kansas State has gone 4-6 this season. Their average scoring margin on the road is -1.0 points per game, compared to +5.3 at home. In their last game, they lost to TCU by a score of 75-72.

Today’s over/under line of 141 for the Kansas State-Texas game is lower than the average OU line in their games this season of 144.1. The over/under record for the Wildcats this year is 11-14. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line of 141.

Against the spread, Kansas State has a 12-13 record this season. On the road, they are 6-4 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Wildcats have gone 6-4 vs. the spread this year and are 6-4 in their last 10 games as the underdog. Over their last three road games, Kansas State is 1-2 vs. the spread.

As a team, Texas is 16-9 this season and 5-7 in Big 12 play. At home, the Longhorns are 12-5 compared to 4-4 on the road. On average, Texas is outscoring opponents by 13.2 points per game at home compared to -3.6 on the road.

Entering today’s game, Texas is favored by 8.5 points. This season, the Longhorns have been the favorite in 17 of their 25 games and have gone 13-4 in those contests.

Today’s over/under line of 141 is lower than the average over/under line in Texas games this season (144.7). On the year, the over/under record in Longhorns games is 14-11. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 7-3.

As the favorite this season, Texas has an ATS record of just 5-12. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Longhorns are just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Analysis

In their recent game, the Wildcats’ offense concluded with 72 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 71.9 points per contest. In terms of offense, the Wildcats have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, putting them 288th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 366th in percentage and 207th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Wildcats’ defense is positioned 103rd in the country, permitting 69.1 points per game. In today’s game, the Kansas State defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 1 three-pointers while giving up 75 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Texas offense tallied 61 points in a matchup against Houston. Their field goal percentage for the game was 38.6%, and they made 6 threes. Dylan Disu led the scoring for the Longhorns, contributing 16 points. Additionally, Chendall Weaver chipped in with 11 points.

At present, the Longhorns’ defense is nationally ranked 86th, allowing 68.4 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Texas’ defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.3% this season.

Betting Trends

• In their last three games away from home, the Wildcats have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 63 points per game in this stretch.
• Although Texas has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 70 points per game in these games.
• Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Wildcats have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.
• The last five games that Texas was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 2-3 straight up.

Crew’s Pick To Cover The Spread

KSU looked pretty good in their last three going 1-2 straight up and 2-1 ATS with the outcome of both losses coming in the final minute of the games. They’ll face a Longhorns team that were completely outmatched in Houston losing by 21 points. Texas certainly shouldn’t lack motivation needing the win with some tough road games and a big win tonight may keep them from dropping seeds. Kansas State has played a lot of close games recently, so mentally that’s tough to play at that level game in and game out, especially on the road. Take the Texas Longhorns -8.5