Indiana vs. Nebraska Spread Pick: Betting Preview & Prediction

Indiana Hoosiers (8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS) vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers (6-2 SU, 3-5 ATS)

When: Friday, December 13th, 8:00 PM (ET)

Where: Pinnacle Bank Arena, NE, Lincoln

TV: FOX

Point Spread: IND +4/NEBR -4

Total: 153.5

Money Line: Indiana Hoosiers +159/-196

Notable Injuries

Hoosiers

• Gabe Cupps (Out) Lower Body

Cornhuskers

• Rienk Mast (Out) Redshirt

Recent Form

Indiana improved to 8-2 on the season with an 82-67 win over Minnesota on Monday. Playing at home, the Hoosiers entered the game as -9.5 favorites and covered the spread. The total points for the game reached 149, surpassing the O/U line of 140.5.

Indiana took control early, leading 44-31 at halftime. They scored 38 points in the second half while allowing 36, maintaining their lead and securing the win.

Nebraska Cornhuskers Recent Game/Games

Nebraska fell to 6-2 on the season after a rough 89-52 loss to Michigan State on Saturday. The Cornhuskers went into the game as +7 point underdogs and didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 141, which was just under the O/U line of 146.5.

After trailing 41-31 at halftime, Nebraska’s offense struggled in the 2nd half, scoring only 21 points while allowing 48. The Cornhuskers will need to regroup after this lopsided loss.

Analysis

Indiana put up 82 points in their last game, shooting 56.6% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 60.4%. Their two-point shooting was particularly strong at 66.7% (26/39), though they struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 4 of 14 attempts (28.6%).

Dawson Garcia led the way with 22 points, while Oumar Ballo was perfect from the field, going 5 for five and finishing with 18 points. Malik Reneau and Bryson Tucker each added 16 points, with Reneau also grabbing seven rebounds. Kanaan Carlyle contributed 14 points, hitting 3 of 6 from three-point range.

Indiana’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 67 points on 56% shooting from the field. The Hoosiers allowed their opponent to connect on 66% of their two-point attempts, with 26 makes on 39 tries.

From beyond the arc, Indiana held their opponent to 28% shooting, as they went 4/14 from three-point range. The Hoosiers also sent them to the line 29 times, where they made 18 free throws, shooting 62%. Indiana gave up 12 offensive rebounds.

Nebraska’s offense struggled in their last game, managing just 52 points with a field goal percentage of 33.3% (18/54). Their effective field goal percentage was 37%, and they hit only 18.2% of their three-point attempts, going 4/22 from deep.

They recorded just four offensive rebounds and eight assists. Jaden Akins contributed 18 points, hitting four threes at a 50% rate, while Jase Richardson added 16 points, shooting 71.4% overall and 66.7% from beyond the arc.

Nebraska struggled defensively, giving up 89 points while allowing their opponent to shoot 51% from the field. Inside the arc, they allowed 20 two-point baskets on 33 attempts, a 60% shooting rate.

From three-point range, Nebraska’s defense gave up nine threes on 23 attempts, a 39% success rate. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 23 times, where they converted 22 free throws, a 95% shooting performance. Nebraska allowed 12 offensive rebounds.

Betting Trends

• In their last three games away from home, the Hoosiers have a straight-up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 76 points per game in this stretch.
• Across their five previous home games, Nebraska has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 73 points per game.
• As the betting underdog, the Hoosiers have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Indiana posted a straight-up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.
• In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Cornhuskers have a straight-up record of 5-0 while going 1-4 against the spread.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Even after getting smoked by Michigan State, the Cornhuskers are favored by -4 vs Indiana tonight. Nebraska does have a good win over Creighton back on November 22nd under their belt, but aside from that, they haven’t played a lot of high-level competition. As for Indiana, they have really struggled against good teams so far, but I have them as the better team, and I see getting them at +4 as a great value play. Look for the Hoosiers to cover this line on the road tonight.