Harvard Crimson vs. Cornell Big Red Free Pick

Harvard Crimson (12-8 SU, 7-12 ATS) vs. Cornell Big Red (17-4 SU, 10-9 ATS)

When: Friday, February 16th, 6:00 PM (ET)

Where: Newman Arena, NY, Ithaca

TV: ESPN+

Point Spread: Har +8.5/Cor -8.5

Total: 156

Money Line: Harv +312/Corn -402

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Notable Injuries

Crimson

Big Red

Recent Form

Through 20 games, Harvard has a 12-8 record, including a 3-4 mark in Ivy League play. On the road, the Crimson are 4-4 compared to 7-4 at home. For the season, they have been outscored by an average of 5.5 points per game on the road.

Coming off a 77-59 win over Dartmouth, Harvard is 4-7 this season as the underdog. So far, they have been the underdog in 11 of their 20 games, going 7-1 as the favorite.

So far this season, the over/under record for Harvard games is 12-7. Today’s line of 156 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (142.9). This year, 18 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points, and their OU record during this stretch is 2-1.

Against the spread, Harvard has a 7-12 record this season. On the road, they are 4-4 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Crimson have gone 4-7 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Harvard has a mark of 3-7 vs. the spread.

After losing their previous game to Yale by a score of 80-78, Cornell enters this matchup with a record of 17-4. They have been perfect at home this season, going 6-0, and they have won their last six games at home.

As the favorite, Cornell is a perfect 13-0 this season, and they have been favored in 13 of their 21 games. So far, they have gone 6-1 in Ivy League play.

So far this season, the over/under record for Cornell games is 12-7. On average, their games have finished with 156.7 points, which is very close to their average over/under line of 157.3. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points, and their OU record during that span is 2-1. Today’s over/under line of 156 is lower than the average scoring total in their games this season.

When looking at Cornell’s ATS record this season, they currently sit at 10-9. At home, the Big Red have gone 5-1 vs. the spread this year. Over their last three home games, they are 2-0 ATS and for the season, they are 5-3 ATS at home. As the favorite, Cornell has gone 7-6 vs. the spread this year, and over their last three games as the favorite, they are 1-2 ATS.

Analysis

Harvard finished with 77 points in their game against Dartmouth. This total surpasses their season average of 71.7 points per game. Currently leading the team in scoring is Malik Mack, who comes into today’s matchup averaging 18.7. Chisom Okpara also heads into the game with a PPG average of 16.6.

Harvard’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 71.2 points per game. So far, the Harvard defense is giving up an average of 9.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.2 times per game (512nd).

Coming off their recent game, the Cornell offense tallied 78 points in a matchup against Yale. Their field goal percentage for the game was 54.5%, and they made 10 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Chris Manon, who is averaging 12.2 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Nazir Williams also maintains a PPG average of 10.8 heading into game.

Currently, the Big Red’s defense holds the 234th rank in the nation, allowing 74.6 points per game. Cornell’s three-point defense is currently 156th in the country at 7.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.8% of their shots vs. Cornell.

Betting Trends

• Through their last five road games, Harvard has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 66 points per game.
• Across their five previous home games, Cornell has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-2 while averaging 77 points per game.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Crimson have gone 3-7 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
• Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Big Red have a straight up record of 10-0. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.

Rich’s Total Pick

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