Golden Gophers at Hoosiers: Betting Prediction and ATS Pick

Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-4 SU, 1-7-2 ATS) vs. Indiana Hoosiers (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS)

When: Monday, December 9th, 6:30 PM (ET)

Where: Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall, IN, Bloomington

TV: BTN

Point Spread: MINNST +10/IND -10

Total: 140.5

Money Line: Minnesota Golden Gophers +402/-559

Notable Injuries

Golden Gophers

• Tyler Cochran (Out) Foot
• Grayson Grove (Out) Redshirt

Hoosiers

• Kanaan Carlyle (Questionable) Undisclosed
• Gabe Cupps (Questionable) Undisclosed

Recent Form

Minnesota fell to 6-4 on the season after a 90-72 home loss to Michigan State on Wednesday. The Golden Gophers entered the game as +4.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 162, well over the pre-game O/U line of 131.5.

After trailing 42-30 at halftime, Minnesota couldn’t slow down the Spartans in the 2nd half, allowing 48 points while scoring 42 of their own.

Indiana improved to 7-2 on the season with a 76-57 win over Miami (OH) on Friday. The Hoosiers were -18.5 point favorites at home and covered the spread, while the game’s total points of 133 fell short of the 150.5 O/U line.

Indiana led 39-36 at halftime but clamped down defensively in the 2nd half, allowing just 21 points while scoring 37 of their own.

Analysis

In their latest game, the Golden Gophers put up 72 points, shooting 44.1% from the field and 32.1% from three-point range, connecting on 9 of 28 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage stood at 50.8%, and they hit 54.8% of their two-point shots.

Dawson Garcia led the team with 18 points and 11 rebounds despite shooting just 35.7% overall and 12.5% from deep. Mike Mitchell Jr. added 17 points, hitting 5 of 9 threes at a 55.6% clip.

Despite Minnesota’s defensive struggles, they allowed 90 points while their opponent shot 44% from the field. Inside the arc, Minnesota gave up 54% shooting, with the other team hitting 17 of 31 two-point attempts.

From three-point range, Minnesota’s defense allowed nine threes on 28 attempts, a 32% shooting performance. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 17 times, where they made 11 free throws, shooting 64%. Minnesota gave up ten offensive rebounds in the game.

Indiana’s offense put up 76 points in their last game, shooting 53.8% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 59.6%. They were particularly strong inside, hitting 64.7% of their two-point attempts while connecting on 33.3% from beyond the arc, going 6-for-18 from three-point range.

Malik Reneau led the way with 19 points and seven rebounds, while Myles Rice added 17 points, shooting 85.7% overall and 66.7% from three. Oumar Ballo contributed 14 points and 18 rebounds, along with six assists. Trey Galloway also hit three threes, shooting 75.0% from deep and finishing with 13 points.

Indiana’s defense allowed 57 points in their last game, with their opponent shooting 53% from the field on 28/52 attempts. Inside the arc, the Hoosiers gave up 22/34 shooting, which is 64%.

From three-point range, Indiana’s opponent shot 6/18, or 33%. They also went to the free-throw line 19 times, making 14, for a 73% success rate. The Hoosiers allowed nine offensive rebounds.

Betting Trends

• In their last three games away from home, the Golden Gophers have a straight-up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 62 points per game in this stretch.
• Across their last five home contests, Indiana has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 76 points per game.
• Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Golden Gophers have gone 1-3-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
• In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Hoosiers have a strong straight-up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

In a small slate of CBB action, we have a Big Ten matchup between Indiana and Minnesota on Monday. Although Indiana has really struggled in any of their games where they have faced good competition this year, the Gophers are going to have a tough time in the Big 10 this season, having already lost by 19 to Michigan State. I have Indiana winning this one outright and covering at -10.