Georgia Tech vs. Florida State Pick 3/7/23

Georgia Tech (14-17 SU 18-11 ATS) vs. Florida State (9-22 SU 14-17 ATS)
When: Tuesday, March 7th: 2:00 ET
Where: Greensboro Coliseum Greensboro, NC
TV: ACCN
Point Spread: GT -2/FSU +2
Total: 145.5
Money Line: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -142/Florida State Seminoles +122

Georgia Tech vs. Florida State: Tuesday’s ACC matchup preview. The game will be played at the Greensboro Coliseum in Greensboro, NC, and will be televised on ACCN. GT is favored by two points with a total of 145.5.

Line Movement

Georgia Tech opened at some sportsbooks as a -1.5 dog and was bet up to as high as -3 before falling back to -2/-2.5. The total hit the board at 146.5 and has been bet down to 145.5.

Last Game Info

Georgia Tech will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated Boston College by a score of 73-65. The Yellow Jackets also picked up an ATS victory as they were +4.5 point underdogs. The combined 138 points finished above the 137 total line.

Florida State most recently fell to Virginia Tech (82-60). Not only did the Seminoles lose straight-up, but they picked up an ATS defeat as +10 point underdogs. The combined 142 points did not surpass the 151.5 total line.

Current Form

Georgia Tech
Over their last five games, Georgia Tech has a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 4-0 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Yellow Jackets’ offense is averaging 79.8 points per game while hitting 47.5% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 44.6% from the field while allowing 68.0 points per contest.

Florida State
In their previous five contests, Florida State is 1-4 straight-up and 1-4 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 66.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 42.3%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 50.8% of their shots while giving up 82.4 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Georgia Tech’s opponents comes in at 80.1. On the other side, Florida State’s combined opponent power rating sits at 82.9.

How Does Georgia Tech Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Yellow Jackets have played 13 road games and have a record of 3-10. In these contests, Georgia Tech is 7-6 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 66.1 points per game on a shooting percentage of 40.4%. On defense, the Yellow Jackets are allowing 72.7 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 45.6% in these games.

How Does Florida State Fare At Home?

In their 17 games at home, Florida State has a 10-7 record vs. the spread while going 5-12 straight-up. On offense, the Seminoles are shooting 43.1% on their home floor, leading to 72.0 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 44.4% in these contests. The Florida State defense is allowing 75.3 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Georgia Tech is averaging 68.6 points per game (282nd) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 44.2%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Florida State defense that has allowed an average of 76.7 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 45.8% of their shots vs. Florida State. On the other side, the Florida State Seminoles are coming into the game averaging 71.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.4%. The Seminoles will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 70.5 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 44.2% of their shots vs. the Yellow Jackets.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Georgia Tech has a shooting percentage of 35.6% while ranking 465th in attempts per game. The Yellow Jackets will be facing a Florida State defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 38.3%. Florida State enters the game having hit 33.1% of their looks from deep while averaging 6.71 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Georgia Tech has allowed opponents to hit 30.2% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Georgia Tech

• Deivon Smith (Out) Ankle
• Tristan Maxwell (Out) Undisclosed

Florida State

• Jaylan Gainey (Out) Knee
• Cam’Ron Fletcher (Out) Knee
• Jeremiah Bembry (Out) Redshirt

Pick Against The Line

Georgia Tech has been a covering machine with point spread wins in eight straight lined games. I just can’t bet them. It’s one of those games that looks too easy, and like laying double-digit spreads, these types of games have a poor success rate for me. I do like the total, though. The Yellow Jackets have held seven of their last nine ACC opponents to 72 or fewer points per game. Florida State’s defense is certainly not outstanding, but they held GT to 64 points in the earlier matchup on their homecourt, and if they’re not going to mail it in today, I expect them to at least keep them in check. Maybe we will see another 75-64 type game with the teams reversed? Take the Under 145.5.