Florida State vs. Cal: ATS Prediction for January 22

Florida State Seminoles (13-5 SU, 12-6 ATS) vs. California Golden Bears (9-9 SU, 10-8 ATS)

When: Wednesday, January 22nd, 9:00 PM (ET)

Where: Haas Pavilion, CA, Berkeley

TV: ACCN

Point Spread: FLST -1.5/CAH +1.5

Total: 149.5

Money Line: Florida State Seminoles -116/-105

Notable Injuries

Seminoles

• Chandler Jackson (Questionable) Groin
• AJ Swinton (Doubtful) Undisclosed

Golden Bears

• BJ Omot (Out) Undisclosed

Recent Form

Florida State Seminoles Recent Game/Games

Florida State improved to 13-5 on the season with a 91-78 home win over Georgia Tech on Saturday. The Seminoles, who were favored by 9.5 points, covered the spread in the victory.

After leading 37-24 at halftime, Florida State scored 54 points in the 2nd half, but also allowed 54 points. The total points for the game reached 169, surpassing the over/under line of 146.5.

California Golden Bears Recent Game/Games

The Golden Bears improved to 9-9 on the season with a 65-62 road win over NC State on Saturday. California entered the game as +6.5 point underdogs and not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread.

California led 31-29 at halftime and edged out NC State by scoring 34 points in the second half while allowing 33. The game’s total points of 127 fell short of the 143.5 over/under line.

Analysis

Florida State’s offense put up 91 points in their last game, shooting 52.2% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 59.7%. They connected on 65% of their two-point attempts (26/40) and hit 33.3% from beyond the arc (9/27) while making 70.6% of their free throws (12/17).

The Seminoles dished out 19 assists and grabbed 12 offensive rebounds. Lance Terry led the way with 23 points, while Taylor Bol Bowen, Javian McCollum, and Duncan Powell each added 20 points. Malique Ewin and Jamir Watkins contributed 17 points apiece, with Ewin also pulling down 11 rebounds.

Florida State’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 78 points on 52% shooting from the field. They allowed 35 made field goals on 67 attempts.

Inside the arc, the Seminoles gave up 26 two-point baskets on 40 attempts, a 65% conversion rate. From three-point range, they allowed nine made threes on 27 attempts, with the opposing team shooting 33%. Florida State also sent their opponents to the free-throw line 17 times, where they made 12 free throws, shooting 70%.

In their latest game, the California Golden Bears put up 65 points, shooting 45.3% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 50.9%. They connected on 37.5% of their three-point attempts (6/16) and 48.6% from inside the arc (18/37) while hitting 64.7% of their free throws (11/17).

Jayden Taylor led the way with 18 points, shooting 53.8% overall. Jovan Blacksher Jr. added 14 points, and Marcus Hill and DeJuan Campbell each contributed 13, with Campbell hitting 80% of his shots. The Bears grabbed 12 offensive rebounds and finished with eight assists as a team.

California’s defense held their opponent to 62 points, with the opposition shooting 43% from the field. They made 26 of their 60 attempts.

From beyond the arc, California limited their opponent to just 10% shooting, with only 1 made three-pointer from 10 attempts. The opposition also shot 64% from the free-throw line, making 9 of 14.

Betting Trends

• Although Florida State has a straight-up record of 2-3 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 72 points per game in these games.
• Across their last three home contests, California has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 62 points per game.
• Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Golden Bears have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
• Florida State has done well both straight up and vs. the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

I’m jumping all over Florida State to win and cover the spread (-1.5) in this matchup. Even though there are always some concerns about taking a team that has to travel across the country, Florida State wins comfortably in this one. My pick is the Seminoles to cover at -1.5.