Duke Blue Devils vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Pick

Duke Blue Devils (21-5 SU, 14-11 ATS) vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (17-9 SU, 14-11-1 ATS)

When: Saturday, February 24th, 2:00 PM (ET)

Where: Lawrence Joel Coliseum, NC, Winston-Salem

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: DUKE +2.5/WAKE -2.5 (You only lay -105 at BAS!)

Total: 151

Money Line: Duke Blue Devils +110/-137

Notable Injuries

Blue Devils

• Christian Reeves (Out) Ankle
• Jaden Schutt (Out) Redshirt

Demon Deacons

None

Recent Form

After beating Miami (FL) by a score of 84-55, Duke comes into this game with a 21-5 record and a five-game winning streak. They are 11-3 in Atlantic Coast Conference play and 10-2 in non-conference games. On the road, they are 6-3 this season, and over their last ten road games, they are 7-3.

Duke is 20-4 this season, and they have only been the underdog once. Their average scoring margin on the road is +6.8, and they have won their last two road games. Overall, Duke has been the favorite in 24 of their 26 games.

This season, the over/under record for Duke games is 11-13-1. So far, their games have averaged 148.4 points compared to an average over/under line of 146.9, resulting in a margin of +1.5. Today’s over/under line of 151 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year. Over their last three games, the OU record is 0-3 and their games have averaged 142 points.

As the underdog this season, Duke has a 0-1 record vs. the spread. Overall, they are 14-11 vs. the spread this year and have gone 4-5 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Blue Devils have gone 3-7 vs. the spread.

Wake Forest is 15-2 at home this season, and they are currently on a 13-game winning streak at home. In their last game, the Demon Deacons defeated Pittsburgh by a score of 91-58. Over their last 10 home games, they have gone a perfect 10-0.

For the season, Wake Forest has an overall record of 17-9, and their record in the ACC is 9-6. They have been the favorite in 18 of their 26 games, and their record as the favorite is 16-2. As for their record on the road, it is just 2-7.

On the season, the over/under record in Wake Forest games is 15-11, and today’s line of 151 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (147.3). Over their last three games, the OU record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in those games is 130 points.

As the favorite this season, Wake Forest has gone 12-5-1 against the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 11-5-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Demon Deacons have an ATS record of 7-2-1.

Analysis

Duke’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Miami (FL), finishing the game with a total of 84 points. Their season average is now 80.5 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Kyle Filipowski, who is averaging 16.9 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jeremy Roach also maintains a PPG average of 14.1 heading into the game.

So far this season, the Duke defense has been performing well, ranking 58th in the country at 67.2 points allowed per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Duke’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.8% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.0% this season.

Wake Forest recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 91 points against Pittsburgh. This output exceeded their season average of 79.4 points per game. Kevin Miller was the leading scorer for the Demon Deacons, putting up 18 points. In addition, Hunter Sallis contributed 17 points.

At present, the Demon Deacons’ defense is nationally ranked 105th, allowing 69.3 points per game. Wake Forest’s three-point defense is currently 60th in the country at 6.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.3% of their shots vs. Wake Forest.

Betting Trends

• In their last ten games away from home, the Blue Devils have a straight-up record of 7-3 while going 4-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 76 points per game in these contests.
• In their last ten games at home, the Demon Deacons have a straight-up record of 2-8 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 72 points per game in this stretch.
• In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Blue Devils have a straight-up record of 3-7 and an ATS mark of 3-7.
• In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Demon Deacons have a straight up record of 9-1 and an ATS mark of 7-2-1.

Crew’s Pick To Cover The Spread

Duke is a small +2.5 road dog today and find themselves in that role for only the second time this season. The only other game they were not a favorite was against UNC where they lost by nine points as a +5 underdog. Wake Forest has won all 14 of their home games this season including a 7-0 record in conference games. They were a money-making 5-1-1 versus the number with the only non-cover against NC State who they beat by four as a -8 favorite. Take Wake Forest -2.5