Creighton vs Kansas Prediction ATS

Creighton Bluejays (23-11 SU, 18-14-2 ATS) vs. Kansas Jayhawks (29-6 SU, 18-17-0 ATS)

When: Saturday March 19 2022, 2:40 PM PM (ET)

Where: Dickies Arena

Point Spread: Creighton +10/Kansas -10 (MyBookie – Use bonus code PREDICT100 to receive a 100% real cash bonus up to $300!)

Total: 138.5

Money Line: Bluejays +500/Kansas -750

Key Injuries

Creighton
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Lower Body (DOUBTFUL)
Ryan Nembhard: Wrist (OUT)
Shereef Mitchell: Foot (OUT)

Kansas
Bob Pettiford: Abdominal (OUT)
Kyle Cuffe Jr: Redshirt (OUT)

Recent Form

The Creighton Bluejays come into this matchup with an overall record of 23-11. On the season, the Bluejays have performed well in their 12 non-conference games, posting a record of 9-3. In games played at neutral sites, the Bluejays went 6-2. Over their last 5 games, they have played above .500 basketball, holding a record of 3-2.

The Kansas Jayhawks get set to host the Bluejays with an overall record of 29-6. On the season, the Jayhawks have performed well in their 14 non-conference games, posting a record of 12-2. In their 7 contests at neutral sites, the team went 6-1. Heading into this matchup, the Jayhawks are looking to pick up their 7th straight win.

For the season, the Creighton Bluejays are averaging 69.1 points per game, good for a rank of 201st in the NCAA. On the defensive end of the floor, the team is giving up 66 points per game, good for 69th in the nation. On the other side, the Kansas Jayhawks are the 15th ranked scoring offense, averaging 78.7 points per game while allowing 67.

Efficiency Outlook

Bouth Creighton and Kansas come into this game with defensive efficiency ratings of 66.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average) compared to Kansas at 66.0. Even though Kansas is tied with Creighton on the defensive end of the court, they enter this game holding the edge on offense. So far, the Jayhawks are 29-5 with an edge in offensive efficiency. In these games, they hold an average scoring margin of 14.0.

I don’t expect this game to be heavily dictated by three-point shooting, as both the Bluejays and Jayhawks are near the bottom of the NCAA in the percentage of points from beyond the arc. So far, 28.5% of Creighton’s points are coming from three-point shots. The same goes for Kansas, at 27.7%.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

• Bluejays are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as an underdog.
• Bluejays are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
• Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Rich Crew’s Against the Spread Pick

The public is eating up the double-digit points in this game, but I believe they’re on the wrong side of the line here. Sure, Kansas can come with odd poor performance, but they’ve been bringing it lately with five consecutive spread covers with three of the last four by greater than this game’s number. The key though to this game may be the absence of Creighton’s Center who has been reported as out for this game. The 7’1” Center eats up the minutes and is very strong on the boards (7.5 RPG and 12.7 PPG) and they don’t have a true C to take his place. Lay the big number! Note: Be sure to check out the rest of our NCAA Tournament Picks!