Brown at Princeton Spread Pick 2/17/23

Brown (13-10 SU 17-5 ATS) vs. Princeton (16-7 SU 9-11 ATS)
When: Friday, February 17th: 7:00 ET
Where: Jadwin Gymnasium Princeton, NJ
TV: ESPN+
Point Spread: BU +6.5/Prin -6.5
Total: 143.0
Money Line: Brown Bears +227/Princeton Tigers -283

The Brown Bears have looked good stringing together three wins, but they face a big test tonight when they take on the Princeton Tigers, who are a perfect 4-0 at the Jadwin Gymnasium in Ivy league play. Get Crew’s analysis, including his free Brown/Princeton pick.

Line Movement

The spread line opened at -6.5 at most boards, which has held through the early wagering. The total line opened at 142.5 and has been on the move hitting as high as 143.5 at some betting sites.

Last Game Info

Brown will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated Cornell by a score of 80-66. The Bears also picked up an ATS victory as they were +2 point underdogs. The combined 146 points did not surpass the 158 total line.

Going into their last game, Princeton was the betting favorite at -8 but fell to Dartmouth by a score of 83-76. The combined 159 points finished above the 143.5 total line.

Current Form

Brown
Over their last five games, Brown has a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 4-0-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Bears’ offense averages 78.2 points per game while hitting 46.3% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 41.6% from the field while allowing 71.4 points per contest.

Princeton
In their previous five contests, Princeton is 3-2 straight-up and 2-3 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 82.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 46.7%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 49.5% of their shots while giving up 81.6 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Brown’s opponents comes in at 75.9. On the other side, Princeton’s combined opponent power rating sits at 72.7.

How Does Brown Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Bears have played 12 road games and have a record of 6-6. In these contests, Brown is 9-3 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 65.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.9%. On defense, the Bears allow 66.1 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 41.5% in these games.

How Does Princeton Fare At Home?

In their 12 games at home, Princeton has a 3-7 record vs. the spread while going 10-2 straight-up. On offense, the Tigers are shooting 46.8% on their home floor, leading to 79.6 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 42.8% in these contests. The Princeton defense is allowing 68.6 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Brown is averaging 71.0 points per game (206th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 43.5%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Princeton defense that has allowed an average of 68.2 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 43.0% of their shots vs. Princeton. On the other side, the Princeton Tigers are coming into the game averaging 79.9 points per game on a shooting percentage of 48.8%. The Tigers will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 67.3 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 43.8% of their shots vs. the Bears.

More Picks: Get Rich Crew’s projected point spread winner for the Yale/Penn 2/17/23 game

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Brown has a shooting percentage of 31.3% while ranking 278th in attempts per game. The Bears will be facing a Princeton defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 32.6%. Princeton enters the game having hit 38.8% of their looks from deep while averaging 10.97 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Brown has allowed opponents to hit 34.5% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Brown

• Kalu Anya (Questionable) Finger

Princeton

• No Reported Injuries

Pick Against The Spread

Sure, Princeton is 4-0 at home, but they’re just 2-2 against the spread with covers over Cornell and Columbia, who are a combined 3-8-1 ATS in conference play. Brown beat Princeton in their earlier meeting at home in the Pizzitola Sports Center 72-70, which was part of a 6-2 run. They have not lost against the spread in eight games and are catching 6.5 points tonight. I’m backing Brown, plus the points.