Big Ten Pick: Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Indiana Hoosiers (11-4 SU, 7-7-1 ATS) vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (8-6 SU, 6-8 ATS)

When: Tuesday, January 9th, 7:00 PM (ET)

Where: Jersey Mike’s Arena, NJ, Piscataway

TV: PEAC

Point Spread: IND +3/RUTGER -3

Total: 140.5

Money Line: Indiana Hoosiers +128/-156

Notable Injuries

Hoosiers

• Shaan Burke (Out) Undisclosed
• Payton Sparks (Questionable) Undisclosed
• Jordan Rayford (Out) Lower Body
• Jakai Newton (Out) Knee

Scarlet Knights

• Jeremiah Williams (Out) Eligibility
• Emmanuel Ogbole (Out) Knee

Recent Form

Indiana enters this game as a three-point underdog. The Hoosiers are 11-4 overall and 3-1 in Big Ten play. On the road, Indiana is 2-2 this season, and they have gone 5-5 in their last ten games away from home.

Indiana has been the underdog in six games this season, and they are 2-4 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is -6.2 points per game.

Indiana’s over/under record this season is 8-7, and today’s over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (144.9). So far, seven of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

Indiana has been right around .500 vs. the spread this season, going 7-7-1. They are 1-2-1 vs. the spread on the road this year and have gone 3-6-1 in their last ten road games. As the underdog, the Hoosiers are 3-3 vs. the spread this season and have a 5-5 mark in their last ten games as the underdog.

After a 2-game losing streak, Rutgers will look to get back on track as they face Indiana as 3-point favorites. So far, the Scarlet Knights have gone 7-2 when favored this season.

At home, Rutgers has been strong this season, going 7-3, and over their last ten games at home, they have gone 7-3. In their most recent game, they fell to Iowa by a score of 86-77.

So far this season, the over/under record for Rutgers’ games is 4-10. The average scoring total in their games is 132.7, which is 4.2 points lower than the average over/under line of 136.9. Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is higher than the average scoring total in their games, and there have been more games (10) with fewer points than 140.5 compared to games (4) with more points than 140.5. The average scoring total in their last three games is 142 points, and their over/under record in those games is 2-1.

As the favorite this season, Rutgers has gone 4-5 vs. the spread. Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Scarlet Knights are just 4-6 ATS. At home this year, they have a 4-6 ATS mark.

The Historicals

Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Scarlet Knights have an average scoring margin of +6 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 4-1. A combined average of 122 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

Analysis

In their recent matchup, the Indiana offense ended with 71 points against Ohio State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 46.6% and made 5 threes. The team’s top scorer is Malik Reneau, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 16.5, while Kel’el Ware also carries a PPG average of 14.8 into the game.

In terms of defense, Indiana is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 73.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 9.3 threes per game vs. Rutgers. This has come on a three-point shooting percentage of 33.0%.

The Rutgers offense is coming off a game in which they scored 77 points vs. Iowa. Overall their field goal percentage was 39.4% while connecting on 6 threes. Aundre Hyatt is leading the team in scoring at 11.9 points per contest. Clifford Omoruyi has also been a key contributor, with a PPG average of 10.7 going into the game.

So far, the Scarlet Knights’ defense is ranked 34th in the country at 64.2 points per contest. So far, the Rutgers defense is giving up an average of 9.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.9 times per game (462nd).

Betting Trends

• Across their three previous road games, Indiana has an ATS mark of 1-1-1. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 74 points per game.
• Across their last three home contests, Rutgers has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 73 points per game.
• The last ten games that Indiana was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 4-6 straight up.
• Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Scarlet Knights have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 0-3.

Rich Crew’s Betting Pick

Take the Under 140.5.