Baylor vs. Texas Tech Pick & Betting Analysis | March 9

Baylor Bears (22-8 SU, 18-9-1 ATS) vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (21-9 SU, 13-16-1 ATS)

When: Saturday, March 9th, 6:00 PM (ET)

Where: United Supermarkets Arena, TX, Lubbock

TV: ESPN2

Point Spread: BAYL +2/TXTECH -2

Total: 147.5

Money Line: Baylor Bears +106/-128

Notable Injuries

Bears

• Langston Love (Questionable) Knee
• Yanis Ndjonga (Out) Knee

Red Raiders

• Warren Washington (Questionable) Foot
• Devan Cambridge (Out) Knee
• KyeRon Lindsay (Questionable) Undisclosed

Recent Form

After a 93-85 win over Texas, Baylor enters this game with a 22-8 record and a three-game win streak. In Big 12 play, they are 11-5 compared to 11-3 in non-conference games.

On the road, the Bears have gone 5-6 this season, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 road games. For the year, they have a +0.2 average scoring margin on the road.

Today’s over/under line of 147.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Baylor’s games this year (147.9). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

As the underdog this season, Baylor has gone 4-3 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-5, and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are 4-6. However, the Bears have been solid vs. the spread lately, going 2-1 in their last three road games and 4-1 in their last five.

At home this season, Texas Tech is 14-2 with an average scoring margin of +12.9 points per game. Over their last ten games at home, the Red Raiders are 8-2.

On the year, Texas Tech has been favored in 20 of their 30 games. Their record as the favorite is 18-2, and they have gone 3-2 over their last five games at home.

This season, the over/under record for Texas Tech games is 18-12. So far, their games have averaged 144.9 points compared to an average over/under line of 140.1, a margin of 4.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 147.5 is higher than the average scoring total of their games this season. In their last three games, the OU record is 1-2 and their games have averaged 144 points.

As the favorite, Texas Tech has gone 10-10 vs. the spread this season and they are 7-9 ATS at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Red Raiders have a 5-5 ATS mark. At home this year, Texas Tech is 1-4 vs. the spread and they are 1-2 ATS in their last three home games.

Analysis

Coming off their recent game, the Baylor offense tallied 93 points in a matchup against Texas. Their field goal percentage for the game was 53.2%, and they made 9 threes. Jalen Bridges led the team in scoring, putting up 32 points. Additionally, RayJ Dennis contributed 16 points for the Bears.

So far, the Bears’ defense is ranked 153rd in the country at 71.3 points per contest. Baylor’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Texas offense to knock down 53% of their shots on their way to putting up 85 points.

In their previous game, the Red Raiders’ offense finished with 75 points, which is right in line with their current average of 75.9 points per contest. Pop Isaacs led the scoring for the Red Raiders, contributing 19 points. Additionally, Darrion Williams chipped in with 18 points.

So far, the Red Raiders’ defense is ranked 94th in the country at 69.0 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.4 threes per game vs. Baylor. This has come on a three-point shooting percentage of 33.0%.

Betting Trends

• Through their last ten road games, Baylor has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 71 points per game.
• Across their five previous home games, Texas Tech has an ATS mark of 2-2-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 72 points per game.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Bears have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-8.
• The Red Raiders have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Rich Crew’s Pick To Cover The Spread

Take Texas Tech -1.5