Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

Wisconsin Badgers (16-6 SU, 11-10 ATS) vs. Michigan Wolverines (7-15 SU, 5-16 ATS)

When: Wednesday, February 7th, 7:00 PM (ET)

Where: Crisler Center, MI, Ann Arbor

TV: BTN

Point Spread: Wis -5.5/UM +5.5

Total: 142

Money Line: Wisc -245/Mich +193

Notable Injuries

Badgers

• Kamari McGee (Out) Foot
• Gus Yalden (Out) Personal

Wolverines

• Cooper Smith (Out) Undisclosed

Recent Form

Wisconsin enters tonight’s game as the favorite, with a record of 12-2 in games where they are favored. Overall, the Badgers are 16-6, including an 8-2 mark in Big Ten play.

On the road, Wisconsin is just 3-3 this season, and their average scoring margin away from home is -2.7. In their last game, the Badgers fell to Purdue by a score of 75-69.

This season, the over/under record for Wisconsin games is 11-8-2. The average scoring total in their games is 142.9, which is similar to today’s over/under line of 142. So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-0-1.

Wisconsin has an ATS record of 11-10 this season and is 2-4 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Badgers have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

Michigan enters this game as a 5.5-point underdog, and the Wolverines are 2-7 this season in games where they are the underdog. Michigan has lost its last five games, and the team’s record on the year is 7-15.

The Wolverines are just 4-10 at home this season, and their average scoring margin at home is -0.3 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, Michigan has gone 2-8. In the team’s most recent game, they lost to Rutgers by a score of 69-59.

Michigan’s over/under record for the season is 13-8, and the average over/under line in their games is 149.7. Today’s line of 142 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 145 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 4-6.

Michigan’s ATS record this season is just 5-16, including a 3-11 mark at home. The Wolverines are also just 2-7 vs. the spread as the underdog this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Michigan is just 3-7 ATS.

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Analysis

In their recent matchup, the Wisconsin offense ended with 69 points against Purdue. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 41.5% and made 3 threes. Tyler Wahl led the team in scoring with 20 points. AJ Storr also added 14 points for the Badgers.Coming into today’s game, the Wisconsin defense is giving up an average of 67.8 points per contest. Against Purdue in their most recent game, the Wisconsin defense gave up a total of 75 points while allowing Purdue to hit 41% of their shots.

In their recent matchup, the Michigan offense ended with 59 points against Rutgers. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 43.4% and made 7 threes. Leading Michigan in scoring vs. Rutgers was Olivier Nkamhoua with his 14 points. Tarris Reed Jr. also added 12 points for the Wolverines.At present, the Wolverines’ defense is nationally ranked 296th, allowing 78.8 points per game. Michigan’s three-point defense is currently 141st in the country at 7.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.6% of their shots vs. Michigan.

Betting Trends

• In their last three games away from home, the Badgers have a straight-up record of 1-2 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 72 points per game in these contests.
• In their last three games at home, the Wolverines have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 62 points per game in these contests.
• In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Wolverines have a straight up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 3-7.
• As the betting favorite, the Badgers have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Wisconsin posted a straight up mark of 9-1 in these matchups.

Kevin’s Pick To Cover The Spread

The Wolverines have been horrible lately, going both 1-9 straight up and 1-9 against the spread, however, the Badgers aren’t a great road team. I think Michigan loses, but slides in for a sneaky cover against the +5.5 spread.